ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets
Exploring the poetry in financial markets for students of money and economy since the year 2000.
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on August 17, 2017. Click here to read the entire piece.) For the past several months, I have maintained that cocoa prices and the iPath Bloomberg Cocoa SubTR ETN (NIB) are bottoming. I also figured that the bad news could not get … Read more
AT40 = 57.2% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 57.6% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 11.2 (volatility index) Short-term Trading Call: cautiously bullish Commentary The cats were particularly frenetic in the last week of trading for the second quarter of 2017. The major … Read more
The fundamentals of cocoa are not changing day-to-day, but you might think so based on the frenetic trading in the iPath Bloomberg Cocoa SubTR ETN (NIB). Last week, NIB made another plunge toward an all-time low in the latest bout of selling that took NIB from $25.29 to as low as $21.70 (a 14.2% loss) … Read more
(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more
Teucrium Corn ETF (CORN) soared on the day by 4.0% as commodities rallied across the board. The rally took CORN into its 50-day moving average (DMA) and an opportunity to take a profit on my trial run on short-term trades around my core CORN position. (I announced the buy here). Source: FreeStockCharts.com This first buy … Read more
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on January 5, 2015. Click here to read the entire piece.) Three and a half years ago, I started a series that I called “the Commodities Crash Playbook” in an effort to take advantage of an investing and economic theory promoted by … Read more
Technical analysis becomes particularly precarious during earnings season, but there are some intriguing charts I felt compelled to post anyway. Some telling and strong stories here… Rackspace Hosting, Inc. (RAX) RAX has given back all its gains from the initial excitement over the potential for “strategic alternatives.” Bears have added insult to injury by rushing … Read more
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on August 28, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) In “Why Taxpayers Pay For Farmers’ Insurance“, Planet Money recently took on the sensitive subject of subsidies to farmers. My sense has always been that these subsidies are more controversial amongst … Read more
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha. Click here to read the entire piece.) {snip} This piece is a follow-up post to “Preparing for Profits in a Resource-Constrained World” (Part 1) in which I discussed the implications of Jeremy Grantham’s fundamental thesis of a new world where resources are … Read more