Above the 40 (March 20, 2017) – Stock Market Returns to Regularly Scheduled Programming

AT40 = 46.5% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 61.8% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 11.3 (volatility index) Short-term Trading Call: neutral Commentary In my last Above the 40, I pointed out a surprising and mild bullish divergence. Like so much else in … Read more

Above the 40 (March 17, 2017) – Financials Continue Drag As Hints Of A BULLISH Divergence Emerge

AT40 = 50.3% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 63.3% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 11.3 (volatility index) Short-term Trading Call: neutral Commentary After the U.S. Federal Reserve hiked interest rates, the market’s expectations on future rate hikes relaxed a bit. That relaxation … Read more

Above the 40 (March 15, 2017) – Stock Market Rate Hike Celebration Forgot the Financials

AT40 = 47.9% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 62.5% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 11.6 (volatility index) Short-term Trading Call: neutral Commentary The U.S. Federal Reserve hiked its interest rate as expected by 0.25%. The accompanying statement was remarkable only for being … Read more

Oil-Related Plays Reverse Post-Election Gains

The big story coming out of the November presidential elections was the flurry of “Trump Trades” that soared on an incremental surge of optimism and expectations. Now the growing story includes the sprouting list of trades that have completely reversed post-election gains. The recent rapid decline in oil prices on the heels of surging U.S. … Read more

Above the 40 (March 10, 2017) – A Stock Market Redressing Itself for A Meeting with the Fed

AT40 = 42.1% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 59.1% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 11.7 (volatility index) Short-term Trading Call: neutral Commentary The February U.S. jobs report catalyzed the next swing in the stock market’s bear-bull knife fight. I noted in my … Read more