Above the 40 (September 8, 2017) – Lingering Tensions for the Stock Market

AT40 = 44.9% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 48.9% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 12.1 (up 4.9%) Short-term Trading Call: neutral Commentary The market has made no progress since my last Above the 40 post which covered the volatility and fizzle from … Read more

Above the 40 (August 29, 2017) – More Stock Market Volatility and Fizzle

AT40 = 37.1% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 46.7% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 11.7 (was as high as 14.3) Short-term Trading Call: neutral Commentary North Korea launched a ballistic missile over northern Japan, bot no fire and fury ensued. What happened … Read more

Above the 40 (August 25, 2017) – No Follow-Through for the S&P 500’s Reflex Bounce

AT40 = 38.6% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 48.0% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 11.3 Short-term Trading Call: neutral Commentary The S&P 500 (SPY) is suddenly struggling at its 50-day moving average (DMA). The big reflex bounce from Tuesday, August 22nd has … Read more

Above the 40 (August 22, 2017) – The Stock Market Gets A Reflex Bounce

AT40 = 35.8% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 46.9% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 11.4 (14.0% decrease) Short-term Trading Call: neutral Commentary Since last Thursday when I lasted posted Above the 40, AT40 (T2108), the percentage of stocks trading above their respective … Read more

Above the 40 (August 17, 2017) – The S&P 500 Leads A Sharp Market Rejection

AT40 = 31.8% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 46.2% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 15.6 (32.5% increase) Short-term Trading Call: neutral Commentary Looks like I was over-optimistic to switch my short-term trading call from neutral to bullish. Now I am right back … Read more

Above the 40 (August 15, 2017) – The Retail Wreck Runs Over Strong Data

AT40 = 39.5% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 50.4% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 12.0 Short-term Trading Call: bullish Commentary Urban Outfitters (URBN) notwithstanding with its 19.5% after hours surge, Tuesday, August 15, 2017 was a signature day for the weakness engulfing … Read more

Above the 40 (August 14, 2017) – Another Fear Phase Fizzles

AT40 = 42.5% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 51.5% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 12.3 (volatility index fell 20.5%) Short-term Trading Call: bullish Commentary As has been the pattern for quite some time now, the latest phase of fear fizzled out fast. … Read more

Above the 40 (August 3, 2017) – The S&P 500 Makes Another Bearish Divergence With A Fresh Twist

AT40 = 49.5% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 55.6% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 10.4 (volatility index) Short-term Trading Call: cautiously bullish Commentary Here we go again. Last week, the S&P 500 slipped but did not fall off the edge. In my … Read more

Above the 40 (July 26, 2017) – A Stock Market Floating Higher And Still On the Edge

AT40 = 63.6% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 60.3% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 9.6 (volatility index) Short-term Trading Call: cautiously bullish Commentary The stock market had a relatively bland day that matched a relatively bland statement on monetary policy from the … Read more

Above the 40 (July 21, 2017) – A Stock Market Soaring High But On the Edge

AT40 = 64.0% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 60.4% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 9.4 (volatility index) (2nd lowest VIX since at least 1990!) Short-term Trading Call: cautiously bullish Commentary The S&P 500 (SPY) is soaring high since its impressive breakout two … Read more