Overbought Holding Pattern for the Stock Market – Above the 40 (May 22, 2020)

Stock Market Statistics AT40 = 73.1% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) (overbought 4 of last 5 trading days)AT200 = 20.0% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAsVIX = 28.2Short-term Trading Call: neutral Stock Market Commentary The stock market had a promising start with a large gap up to … Read more

Stock Market Rebounds Deeply Into Overbought Trading Conditions – Above the 40 (May 8, 2020)

Stock Market Statistics AT40 = 82.3% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) (overbought day #2)AT200 = 16.5% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAsVIX = 28.0Short-term Trading Call: neutral Stock Market Commentary Winners and losers are becoming more and more distinct in the stock market. While skeptics and bears … Read more

Second Derivative Selling Reverses More Stock Market Breakouts – Above the 40 (February 27, 2020)

AT40 (T2108) plunged from 18.5% to 9.4% to become deeply oversold.

AT40 = 9.2% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) (oversold day #2)AT200 = 26.8% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs (near 13-month low)VIX = 39.2 (up 42.1%)Short-term Trading Call: bullish Stock Market Commentary Oversold The stock market is only into its second oversold day, but the technical extreme … Read more

A Love Note to the Stock Market – Above the 40 (February 14, 2020)

AT40 = 53.3% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 58.8% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 13.7Short-term Trading Call: bearish Stock Market Commentary It just got tougher to stick to my recent bearish short-term trading call on the stock market. On Friday, news went … Read more