A Major Breakout for Whole Foods Market

I first identified a potential bottom in Whole Foods Market (WFM) back in July. The following month I became even more convinced of a bottom after a rumor of Carl Icahn’s involvement allowed me to sell another round of call options at a nice profit. After that trade, I made another swing trade with shares … Read more

The Apple Pre-Earnings Trade: October, 2014 Edition

My favorite part of earnings season is typically the Apple (AAPL) earnings call. Apple’s earnings attracts out-sized amount of attention, and it is a time when I get to recalibrate my trading models. My apologies to regular readers who were expecting a more timely update of the pre-earnings trading model for AAPL. I simply ran … Read more

T2108 Update (August 15, 2014) – The S&P 500 Almost Passes the Test

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

T2108 Update (August 14, 2014) – S&P 500 Faces Its First Big Test After Lifting From Oversold Conditions

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

An Example of Why It Is Often Better To Follow, Not Fight, Trends: Windstream Holdings

At the time of writing, Windstream Holdings, Inc. (WIN) is surging 23.3% on news that the company received a favorable ruling from the IRS to convert to a REIT. From the press release: “Windstream (Nasdaq: WIN), a leading provider of advanced network communications, today announced plans to spin off certain telecommunications network assets into an … Read more

T2108 Update (May 21, 2014) – Conflicting Signals Turn “Sell In May” to “Stabilize In May”

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

Chart Review Madness: Bearishness Abounds

As promised, here is a cornucopia of charts. To me, this is still just a small sample of the very enticing and intriguing charts popping up everywhere as more evidence builds that some kind of top is getting printed in the stock market. In particular, note my selection of momentum charts that are wobbling, weakening, … Read more

Some Quick Implications As the U.S. Dollar Turns the Corner On Taper Fears Part Two

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on November 11, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) The next statement on monetary policy from the U.S. Federal Reserve comes on December 18th. With taper expectations on the rise again thanks to the 204,000 jobs added in October, it … Read more

T2108 Update (June 14, 2013) – Churn and Burn

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are highly likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades … Read more

Chart Review: Apple Resistance; Priceline.com and Siemens Breakout

Apple (AAPL) In one month, Apple (AAPL) has gone absolutely nowhere while remaining under critical resistance at the 200-day moving average (DMA). In between, AAPL printed an impressive hammer which created a bottom in the stock right above the $500 level. The hammer pattern printed what now looks like a classic washout day of selling … Read more