T2108 Update (May 21, 2014) – Conflicting Signals Turn “Sell In May” to “Stabilize In May”

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

Chart Review Madness: Bearishness Abounds

As promised, here is a cornucopia of charts. To me, this is still just a small sample of the very enticing and intriguing charts popping up everywhere as more evidence builds that some kind of top is getting printed in the stock market. In particular, note my selection of momentum charts that are wobbling, weakening, … Read more

Some Quick Implications As the U.S. Dollar Turns the Corner On Taper Fears Part Two

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on November 11, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) The next statement on monetary policy from the U.S. Federal Reserve comes on December 18th. With taper expectations on the rise again thanks to the 204,000 jobs added in October, it … Read more

T2108 Update (June 14, 2013) – Churn and Burn

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are highly likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades … Read more

Chart Review: Apple Resistance; Priceline.com and Siemens Breakout

Apple (AAPL) In one month, Apple (AAPL) has gone absolutely nowhere while remaining under critical resistance at the 200-day moving average (DMA). In between, AAPL printed an impressive hammer which created a bottom in the stock right above the $500 level. The hammer pattern printed what now looks like a classic washout day of selling … Read more

Apple Breaks A Nine-Week Streak of Winning Friday’s

For the first time in over two months, Apple (AAPL) closed the week on a down note with a loss on Friday. These two months stand out because AAPL has tended to close the week meekly (Thursday and Friday) since 2010. Not only did this past Friday break a 9-week winning streak, but also the … Read more

Chart Review: As Expected, Apple Fills Post-Earnings Gap – Waiting Now For Bullish Breakout

Apple (AAPL) filled last week’s post-earnings gap in just four days. As discussed in “Apple’s Important Macro And Forex Calls And Likely Post-Earnings Recovery,” AAPL’s historical performance suggested a near certainty that this gap would get filled BEFORE the next earnings report. I gave a 50/50 chance on whether the gap would get filled in … Read more

T2108 Update (June 22, 2012) – Stop and Go Traffic

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are posted on twitter using the #120trade hashtag) T2108 Status: 39.6% VIX Status: 18.1 … Read more