Bullard Busts the Myth of A Big Rate Cut for July

In recent days, market pundits have excitedly talked about the prospects of the Federal Reserve getting so dovish that it would be willing to make a bold statement with a rate cut of 50 basis points for the July 31st announcement on monetary policy. Such a move would be quite dramatic given the Fed has … Read more

Bitcoin Breakout: A 13-Month High Confirmed By Google Search Trends

Bitcoin (BTC-USD) broke out to a 13-month high this week, and Google Trends likely confirmed the move just like it confirmed the big April breakout. Google Trends provides an index showing the relative changes in the popularity of Google searches. On the same day that Bitcoin broke out, June 16th, Google searches on “Bitcoin” jumped … Read more

Two Straight Fades Equals A Toppy Stock Market – Above the 40 (June 11, 2019)

AT40 = 39.5% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 45.4% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAsVIX = 16.0Short-term Trading Call: neutral (downgrade from cautiously bullish) Stock Market Commentary The last 5 or 6 trading days have been good for bulls and buyers. It was fun while … Read more

Rate Cut Promises Rescued A Stock Market Near Oversold – Above the 40 (June 7, 2019)

AT40 = 38.9% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 44.8% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAsVIX = 18.9Short-term Trading Call: cautiously bullish Stock Market Commentary From opening at the edge of oversold trading conditions to closing on near panic buying, last week was a wild week! … Read more

Bitcoin Price Action Burdened By Google Search Trends Indicator

Google Trends continues to serve as a relatively good guide for identifying buy and sell points in Bitcoin (BTC-USD). As the latest example, I used Google Trends to decide to take profits into what looked like over-extended price action on May 13th. The next day, Google search interest peaked. As a reminder, an extreme in … Read more