ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets
Exploring the poetry in financial markets for students of money and economy since the year 2000.
Stock Market Commentary After a holiday-shortened week, a market breadth breakout signals sentiment near peak bullishness. The market also seemed to interpret an unexpectedly strong jobs report as a positive, even as odds for rate cuts plunged (at the time of writing, 5% for later this month and 69.4% for September, down from 91% a … Read more
Stock Market Commentary The stock market transitioned from a nervous calm to a confident calm. The NASDAQ and S&P 500 hit fresh all-time highs faster than I could have expected during the depths of the tariff drama, trauma, and noise. Nvidia (NVDA) led the way with a mid-week breakout to all-time highs. The market’s confident calm … Read more
Stock Market Commentary The stock market last week was full of a nervous calm. Fed Chair Jerome Powell seemed to muffle the market’s mood after warning that meaningful inflation is yet to come as a result of tariffs. The expiration of the 90-day pause on reciprocal tariffs looms over the market with just one major … Read more
Stock Market Commentary The stock market’s fearless streak met fresh geopolitical headwinds that significantly raised the risk quotient. Tensions surged as Israel bombarded Iran’s nuclear infrastructure and Iran retaliated, spiking oil prices and triggering a market sell-off that, while sharp, could have and should have been a lot worse. This fresh market risk is a … Read more
Stock Market Commentary In just three months, the stock market has transformed from fragile to fearless. Friday’s return to overbought territory, on the heels of another jobs report that beat “consensus expectations”, underlined the market’s fearless bullishness. The jobs report made imminent rate cuts even less likely. Along with that prospect, bond yields nudged higher … Read more