Above the 40 (November 30, 2018) – Market Sentiment Quickly Transforms: Enter the “Cramer Bottom”

AT40 = 44.5% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 30.3% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs (just above a 32-month low) VIX = 18.1 Short-term Trading Call: neutral Commentary Last week was a week where the stock market seemed to force its way into the endzone … Read more

The S&P 500’s Historic October Drawdown Bled Into November

The S&P 500’s maximum drawdown for October was 9.4% on a closing price basis. That was the third worst October for the S&P 500 (SPY) on a drawdown basis since since 1951. Only the 30.1% maximum drawdown from October, 1987 and the 27.2% maximum drawdown from October, 2008 were worse. THAT is some awful company … Read more

Housing Moves: Zillow, KB Home, and LGI Homes Put On A Show

Housing-related stocks continue to show signs of a return of buying interest. I keep tabs on these “housing moves” as checks on the health of the sector. These moves are of particular interest now that investors are actively worrying about a housing slowdown just as the stocks of home builders launch into their seasonally strong … Read more

Above the 40 (November 23, 2018) – Stock Market Barely Avoids Oversold Conditions

AT40 = 27.6% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 25.6% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs (just above a 32-month low) VIX = 21.5 Short-term Trading Call: neutral Commentary Last week on November 20th, AT40 (T2108), the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving … Read more

Bitcoin’s Latest Price Plunge Finally Wakes Up (Search) Interest

Nothing like a good sell-off to kindle interest. Until November 14th, Bitcoin (BTC-USD) held a floor between 5750 and 6000 for the entire year, whether on an intraday or “closing” basis. After that threshold broke down, sellers overwhelmed buyers to the tune of new 52-week lows. The cryptocurrency now sits at a 13+ month low, … Read more