ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets
Exploring the poetry in financial markets for students of money and economy since the year 2000.
In late October, I claimed that Goldman Sachs (GS) had finally found a bottom after two years of mostly declining prices. It has been all downhill for GS ever since. The chart below shows the signals I used to decide GS had finally printed a bottom. Note that on November 9, GS sliced cleanly and … Read more
AAPL spent a large part of the first half of 2011 under-performing the market with a relatively low valuation (for example, see “A Rare and Important Test for Apple’s Recently Underperforming Stock“). AAPL’s relative under-performance has returned, and its stubborn inability to regain lost momentum is getting more than a bit disconcerting. Apple (AAPL) is … Read more
This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on October 30, 2011. Click here to read the entire piece.) The U.S. dollar was one of last week’s biggest losers during a very bullish week. As I have chronicled for several weeks now, the market’s bullish signals continue to grow. With … Read more
The saga of Best Buy’s bottom has now developed in a strange fashion. For two months now, I have maintained a laser focus on the buying opportunity in Best Buy (BBY) stock based on some stabilization around the 2009 lows. In the last post, I pointed out that sellers may have finally been washed out … Read more
In my T2108 Update on October 5, I asked whether the last bear market would really last just one day (so far, so good!). In that post, I noted that Wynn Resorts Limited (WYNN) had suffered an important breakdown and concluded: “This breakdown swiftly moves WYNN from the bullish camp into the bearish camp. On … Read more
For six days, Netflix (NFLX) appeared to have printed a bottom at $125. On Thursday, NFLX broke that critical support and plunged 11% to close at a new 52-week low. In the process, the stock also tagged $110 which was a price target established by a bearish analyst at Noster Capital. Unfortunately, Thursday’s action suggests … Read more
Many technology stocks have rebounded sharply off their August lows. Stocks like Amazon (AMZN) and Apple (AAPL) have even managed to register fresh all-time highs in the past week. On the other hand, Google (GOOG) has gone nowhere in about two years and now faces overhead resistance yet again. In today’s trading, GOOG was turned … Read more
On Thursday, September 15, investors and traders dumped Netflix (NFLX) on news that the company will lose 600,000 subscribers this quarter compared to the previous quarter. In 12 years, NFLX has now suffered a quarter-over-quarter loss in subscribers only twice. This occurrence represents a 2.4% reduction in customers. (For more details see AP story “Higher … Read more
This chart review pairs an ugly chart with a blooming one. Japan’s Nikkei stock market index made very little additional progress after the sharp and rapid bounce from the March lows marked a crescendo of panic over the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear catastrophe. On five separate days, the Nikkei survived tests of the closing lows from … Read more
Anytime after the March, 2009 lows, if you had asked me which stock or stocks would break those lows within the next three years, Cisco (CSCO) would have been one of the furthest names from my mind. And yet, Tuesday (Aug 9), CSCO closed just 2% above its closing and intraday March, 2009 low. When … Read more