Global Markets Synchronize Into A State of Calm That Does NOT Equate to Safety

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on February 19, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) {snip} Nassim Taleb has been on a tour promoting his new book “Antifragile: Things That Gain from Disorder.” He provides related links and interviews on his Antifragile web site where he … Read more

2013 Forex Outlook: More of the Same for the British Pound

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on December 26, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) Most of the clues required for the British pound’s direction for 2013 are contained in the Bank of England’s last Inflation Report back on November 14, 2012. The British pound enjoyed … Read more

Fed Minutes Revive Pressure On the Japanese Yen

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on August 23, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) The minutes from the last Federal Reserve meeting seem to suggest that members are starting to coalesce around Janet Yellen’s analysis that monetary policy should be more accomodative (see “Yellen’s Case … Read more

Watching for Intervention As U.S. Dollar Falls Toward Five-Month Lows Versus Yen

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on July 23, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) Japanese Finance Minister Jun Azumi has formed a habit of warning currency markets about the strength in the Japanese yen (FXY). For example, on May 31st, with USD/JPY slightly above 78 … Read more

Yen Intervention Just As Dollar’s Relief Rally Ends and Gold’s “Bubble” Unpops

This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on October 30, 2011. Click here to read the entire piece.) The U.S. dollar was one of last week’s biggest losers during a very bullish week. As I have chronicled for several weeks now, the market’s bullish signals continue to grow. With … Read more

The BoJ Saves the U.S. Dollar from a Major Technical Breakdown

The Bank of Japan (and/or the Japanese Ministry of Finance) has an excellent sense of timing technicals. Last night’s intervention to put an end to the on-going strength in the Japanese yen came just as the U.S. dollar looked ready to follow-through on its break of the important support at the 200-day moving average (DMA). … Read more