T2108 Update (May 17, 2012) – Oversold and Looking UGLY Ahead of Facebook IPO

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are posted on twitter using the #120trade hashtag) T2108 Status: 18.9% (Oversold day #1, … Read more

Chart Review: Spain ETF (EWP) Breaks Its March, 2009 Low

The iShares MSCI Spain Index Fund ETF (EWP) broke below its March, 2009 lows this week. EWP is now trading at 8 1/2 year lows. This major milestone is more confirmation that we can expect another roiling summer full of eurozone headlines. I provide a weekly and a daily chart for perspective. Note how volume … Read more

Bearish Signs Mount As The Bottom Drops Out of ProShares UltraShort 20+ Year Treasury (TBT)

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on May 15, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) So much for that bottoming process in ProShares UltraShort 20+ Year Treasury (TBT) that I noted two months ago (see “Looking Like A Bottom For TBT“). Interest rates are headed lower … Read more

Chart Review: JPMorgan Chase and Goldman Sachs Break Down

T2107, the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 200-day moving averages has been in decline since reaching a quick post-recession peak in late 2009. It is one sign that fewer and fewer strong stocks are supporting the overall stock market. So when the indicator takes a fresh plunge to the downside, I sit up … Read more

Chart Review: Yelp.com Confirms Blow-Off Top With A Break Of Support

The recent batch of internet IPOs are collectively running into hard times these days despite the imminent introduction of Facebook (FB) to the public markets. On April 9, I noted a likely blow-off top in Yelp.com (YELP). Friday’s break of critical support all but confirms the top. I have updated the chart with the new … Read more

Chart Review: Apple Tops Out….Again

Apple (AAPL) has had a rough five days. The stock has sold off for five straight days on very high selling volume with losses increasing the last two days. The 9.7% loss pales in comparison to the year-to-date 43% gains. However, this recent selling is just as ominous as the last topping pattern Apple printed … Read more

Chart Review: TBT’s Bottom Already In Jeopardy

Almost a month ago I made another case for a bottom in TBT, the ProShares UltraShort 20+ Year Treasury. The related breakout include some large, upward one-day moves. The churn included a convincingly successful retest of presumed support at the upper channel that formed the consolidation pattern for TBT’s bottom. Alas, that was not enough … Read more

T2108 Update – April 4, 2012 (Consolidation Time?)

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are posted on twitter using the #120trade hashtag) T2108 Status: 44% VIX Status: 16.4% … Read more

Chart Review: Will Buyers Step Up One More Time As FXI Breaks Down Again?

Two weeks ago, the iShares FTSE China 25 Index Fund (FXI) broke down below its 50 and 200-day moving averages (DMAs) just 5-6 weeks after an important breakout above these MAs. Buyers seemed to treat this as an opportunity to get into FXI before the breakout move resumed. Over the past two days, FXI has … Read more

Chart Review: First Solar and SunPower Confirm Bearish Patterns

It only took a day or two for First Solar (FSLR) and SunPower Corporation (SPWR) to confirm the bearish pattern I pointed out after the recent post-earnings celebration for SPWR. The charts below show rapid follow-through from the big fades that followed huge up days in each stock. Source: FreeStockCharts.com Note well that the bears … Read more