Cambpell’s Soup Still Not Cheap Enough to Risk Playing A Post-Earnings Recovery

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on November 21, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) You know it must be a good year in the stock market when a soup and food products company can deliver 11% gains year-to-date. Unfortunately for Campbell Soup (CPB), its 11% … Read more

Whirlpool Insists U.S. Housing Recovery and Homebuilding Look Fine From Its Perch

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on November 5, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) Three months ago I wrote about about a disconnect that I perceived between investor assessments of Whirlpool (WHR) versus homebuilders like Tri Pointe Homes (TPH). {snip} Fast forward to November 4th … Read more

Colwater Creek Throws the Kitchen Sink At Investors: Lessons for Trading At the Edge of Bankruptcy

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on October 21, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) Last month Coldwater Creek (CWTR) issued an earnings report that made it pretty clear the company is headed toward bankruptcy unless it finds an 11th hour savior. {snip} Source: FreeStockCharts.com The … Read more

Chart Review: AAPL Not Over Hump, AMZN Launches Again, BBY 3-Year Highs, SKUL Breakout, And More

This chart review covers the following stocks Apple (AAPL), Amazon.com (AMZN), Best Buy (BBY), Skull Candy (SKUL), Priceline.com (PCLN), Hewlett-Packard (HPQ), and Caterpillar (CAT). Apple (AAPL) In retrospect, last Monday’s plunge now looks like some kind of “manipulation.” The stock plunged 3.2% on no immediate news so the selling looked like follow-through to the previous … Read more

TRI Pointe Homes Versus Whirlpool: A Disconnect In Response to Bullish Housing-Related Reports

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on August 15, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) TRI Pointe Homes (TPH) reported very strong earnings for the second quarter of 2013. {snip} Year-over-year results were strong, and TPH raised guidance for the year. {snip} Based on strong demand, … Read more

Herbalife On the Edge of Breakout As Short Squeeze Still Awaits

Harbalife (HLF) is on the verge of a major breakout. The stock gained another 2.5% on Friday to close at $55.80, just below the intraday high from July 31, 2012. The charts below show over a year’s worth of trading. The next chart zooms in a little so that you can read the notes I … Read more

T2108 Update (May 29, 2013) – Tremors Before A Larger Corrective Phase

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are highly likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades … Read more

Vornado Anticipates A Major Economic Expansion And A Bubble; Fears the Internet

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on April 14, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) I quickly caught a Bloomberg headline about plans from Vornado Realty Trust (VNO) to sell more than it buys. I went to the VNO 2012 annual report to see for myself … Read more

Chart Review: Apple Changing, BlackBerry Pushes On, Facebook On the Edge, Autozone Breaks Out, Fossil Still Abandoned

Here is my latest review of a few charts that have my attention: Apple (AAPL), BlackBerry (BBRY), Facebook (FB), and Autozone (AZO), Fossil (FOSL). Apple (AAPL) Fourteen (14) trading days have passed since Apple (AAPL) made a new low in its standing downtrend from last September’s all-time highs. The stock has closed above the downtrending … Read more

Some Trading Implications From SEC’s Charges of Insider Trading in H.J. Heinz

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on February 18, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) Traders sometimes copy the trading in options showing unusual trading activity under the assumption that someone (or some people) have privileged insight into an imminent big event or the short-term price … Read more