An Extended Overbought Rally Moves Into Historic Territory (Above the 40) – December 18, 2020

Stock Market Commentary The Federal Reserve signaled an incremental improvement in its economic outlook by making an allowance for limited stock repurchases and dividends by the country’s top financial institutions. As a result, bank stocks apparently soared in after hours trading. That fresh rally in financials should extend to a positive open on Monday and … Read more

Key Overbought Threshold for the Stock Market In Time for the Holidays – Above the 40 (December 11, 2020)

Stock Market Commentary A week ago, the stock market stretched into an extended overbought rally. The stock market proceeded to relax from that stretch. Yet, the breadth indicators barely budged and allowed the overbought rally to reach a key overbought threshold and test of the extended overbought rally. The overbought period reached 20 days in … Read more

Overbought Trading Resumes With Fresh Momentum for the Reopen Trade – Above the 40 (November 13, 2020)

Stock Market Statistics AT40 = 74.4% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) (Day #1 overbought, 3 of last 4 days ooverbought) AT200 = 68.1%% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs (near 3-year high and holding breakout above post financial crisis downtrend) VIX = 23.1 Short-term Trading Call: neutral … Read more

The Stock Market Voted to Rally After October Swoon – Above the 40 (November 6, 2020)

Stock Market Statistics AT40 = 52.4% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 53.3% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs (8-month high) VIX = 24.9 Short-term Trading Call: neutral Stock Market Commentary Based on AP results, Joe Biden and Kamala Harris declared victory in the U.S. Presidential … Read more

A Time to Retreat to Neutral on the Stock Market – Above the 40 (November 4, 2020)

Stock Market Statistics AT40 = 48.2% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 51.5% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs (8-month high) VIX = 29.6. (a plunge of 16.8%) Short-term Trading Call: neutral (downgrade from cautiously bullish) Stock Market Commentary At the time of writing, the U.S. … Read more

A Stock Market Cooling – Above the 40 (October 16, 2020)

Stock Market Statistics AT40 = 56.5% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 53.1% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 27.4 Short-term Trading Call: cautiously bullish Stock Market Commentary The stock market made a bullish move last week as financials broke out, but I noted … Read more

Stock Market Rebounds Stronger Than Before – Above the 40 (October 9, 2020)

Stock Market Statistics AT40 = 61.1% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 53.2% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 25.0 Short-term Trading Call: cautiously bullish Stock Market Commentary Without recognizing the bullish divergence that ended the previous week, last week’s trading dynamic of a … Read more

The Stock Market Pushes Through Its 50DMA Resistance – Above the 40 (September 28, 2020)

Stock Market Statistics AT40 = 33.6% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 42.6% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 26.2 Short-term Trading Call: cautiously bullish Stock Market Commentary The major indices bounced out of oversold trading conditions only to face down the immediate challenge … Read more

Stock Market Gap-Downs Send Traders Back to High Tech Playbook – Above the 40 (September 21, 2020)

Stock Market Statistics AT40 = 28.7% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs). (traded as low as 24.8%)AT200 = 40.0% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAsVIX = 27.8 (traded as high as 31.1)Short-term Trading Call: neutral (changed from cautiously bearish) Stock Market Commentary For a brief moment the entire … Read more

A Tech Stock Breakdown While Rest of Market Yawns – Above the 40 (September 18, 2020)

Stock Market Statistics AT40 = 43.5% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs)AT200 = 44.9% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAsVIX = 25.8Short-term Trading Call: cautiously bearish Stock Market Commentary Tech stocks led the way up, and now they are leading the way down. The top 1% of the … Read more