The Aging In Place Movement Challenges the Notion Of An Imminent “Senior Sell-Off” Of Housing

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on Aug 11, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) “That’s perhaps one of the geniuses in the way the village movement has been set up, because it takes into account the fact that we are all aging in different ways … Read more

The Pent-Up Housing Demand Of Young People As A Support for Seling Seniors?

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on July 30, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) Depressed asset markets often include inherent supply/demand ironies. When prices drop to depressed levels, buyers should show up in droves to take advantage of the bargains. Of course, a market gets … Read more

Baby Boomers Are Not Likely to Cause the Next Housing Crisis (Part 2 of 2)

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on July 19, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) “‘It’s romantic for the first 15 years when you’re turning 65 and retired…But aging in place among 90-year-olds? 95-year-olds?’ Many of these people…won’t realize that they can’t mow the lawn or … Read more

Baby Boomers Are Not Likely To Cause the Next Housing Crisis (Part 1)

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on May 29, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) Back in March, 2013, an intriguing article appeared in The Atlantic Cities called “The Great Senior Sell-Off Could Cause the Next Housing Crisis.” Author Emily Badger interviewed demographer Arthur C. Nelson, … Read more

Meritage Supersizes Its Warchest On the Heels of Another Outstanding Quarter

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on January 12, 2014. Click here to read the entire piece.) Meritage Homes (MTH) rolled out a series of announcements last week culminating in the pricing of 2.2M shares in a common stock offering at $45.75/share. With net proceeds of $95.9M, this … Read more

What the Homebuilders Said to Close Out 2013: All Eyes On the 2014 Spring Selling Season

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on January 6, 2014. Click here to read the entire piece.) {snip} The above quote pretty much sums up the attitude of homebuilders (ITB) going into 2014. It sounds like a classic sales pitch from a real estate agent, but the evidence … Read more

Pent-Up Demand Pushes Up Housing Market Index

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on December 17, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) The latest National Association of Home Builders (NAHB)/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index (HMI) surged to 58 from 54. The NAHB pointed to pent-up housing demand from the government shutdown as a … Read more

The Coming Upward Pressure On Mortgage Rates In 2014

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on November 26, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) On Monday (November 25, 2013) the National Association of Realtors (NAR) reported a fifth straight month of declining pending home sales. NAR chief economist Lawrence Yun projects that 2013 will end … Read more

The Housing Market Index: Strong Trends, Correlated Components, and A Weak Northeast

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on November 19, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) The National Association of Homebuilders (NAHB) just released its November, 2013 report on builder confidence: the National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index (HMI). It showed no change from … Read more