Another Key Bullish Divergence Between the Australian Dollar and the S&P 500

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on July 24, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) The Australian dollar (FXA) continues to provide fascinating, and profitable, examples of its strong relationship with the S&P 500 (SPY). {snip} On July 23rd, another big sell-off day, the Australian dollar … Read more

Watching for Intervention As U.S. Dollar Falls Toward Five-Month Lows Versus Yen

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on July 23, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) Japanese Finance Minister Jun Azumi has formed a habit of warning currency markets about the strength in the Japanese yen (FXY). For example, on May 31st, with USD/JPY slightly above 78 … Read more

T2108 Update (July 23, 2012) – Overbought Period Ends But June Uptrend Holds

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are posted on twitter using the #120trade hashtag) T2108 Status: 59.9% (ends last overbought … Read more

T2108 Update (July 20, 2012) – Rejected From A Breakout

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are posted on twitter using the #120trade hashtag) T2108 Status: 70.9% (6th overbought day) … Read more

Changing to A Bearish Strategy On the British Pound

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on July 13, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) After another pins and needles rally back to the 50DMA resistance, I think it is time to switch to a more bearish strategy on the British pound (FXB). Since mid-June, I … Read more

Australian Dollar On the Verge Of Another Breakout

The trading action in forex is starting to pick up again with quickly changing setups. Of the many twists, the Australian dollar (FXA) continues to capture a lot of my attention. Currently, the Aussie looks ready to break out against the U.S. dollar. Source: FreeStockCharts.com AUD/USD is now positive again for the year, and, at … Read more

The Japanese Yen Is Reasserting Itself

The U.S. dollar’s jagged rally from last year’s lows has finally brought it back to its “QE2 reference price.” At the same time, a carry trade seems to be lifting the Australian dollar in “risk-on” fashion. In the background, the Japanese yen is slowly but surely reasserting itself as the strongest of the major currencies … Read more

How Divergences Between the Australian Dollar and the S&P 500 Can Signal Trades

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on July 8, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) I have written several articles now discussing the dynamics of the Australian dollar as well as its correlation with the S&P 500 (SPY). At the end of May, I wrote “Correlations … Read more

Australian Dollar Confirms Stock Rally As It Re-Emerges As A Leading ‘Risk-On’ Currency

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on July 6, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) The Australian dollar’s year-to-date performance against the U.S. dollar (FXA) is back to even. The leading “risk-on” currency has fought back from a large one month slide that featured losses of … Read more

Remaining Bearish On Australian Dollar As The RBA Braces For More Financial Turmoil

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on July 3, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) In keeping interest rates at 3.50%, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) issued a relatively mundane statement on monetary policy on July 3rd. This statement contained many of the same themes … Read more