The Canadian Dollar Prices In A Weaker Economic Outlook

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on October 28, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) Canadian monetary policy may have experienced an important change-up. With last week’s announcement on monetary policy, the Bank of Canada became a little more dovish. The sharp response in the Canadian … Read more

The Euro’s Resilience Is the Dollar’s Weakness

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on October 24, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) When I saw the Wednesday (October 23, 2013) headlines screaming that European Central Bank (ECB) President Mario Draghi indicated he had no hesitation about failing banks in upcoming, comprehensive stress tests, … Read more

Failed Breakouts Provide Buying Opportunity in the Australian Dollar

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on October 25, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) Ever since news of Chinese banks making massive write-offs and a parallel spike in China money rates stoked renewed fears over the Chinese financial system, the Australian dollar (FXA) has pared … Read more

Demographics and Labor Flows Drive the Implications of the Labor Participation Rate

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on September 22, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) In his opening statement for his press conference following the latest meeting of the Federal Reserve, Chairman Ben Bernanke once again called out the influence of lower participation rates on unemployment… … Read more

The Dollar’s Underwhelming Week Was Consistent With On-Going Trading Range

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on September 9, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) Last week was supposed to be a dramatic week with a whole host of pronouncements from the world’s major central banks, the aftermath of the Jackson Hole confab, and major economic … Read more

Employment Numbers Bring Australian Dollar’s Rally to A Halt

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on September 12, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) Financial markets must have had extremely optimistic expectations for Australia’s August employment numbers. Right after the release of the employment statistics on September 12th (Australian time), the Australian dollar (FXA) pulled … Read more

The Australian Dollar Strengthens In the Absence Of A New Catalyst for Rate Cuts

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on May 19, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) Time to swivel heads around on the Australian dollar (FXA) yet again. In “Australian Dollar’s Relief Rally Ends With The Latest RBA Meeting Minutes,” I concluded that the Reserve Bank of … Read more

The British Pound Is A Bargain

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on May 19, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) {snip} Traders have gotten quite bullish on the U.S. dollar. Reuters reported that bullish bets on the U.S. dollar have reached an 11-month high: {snip} This critical juncture for the dollar … Read more

A “Non-Dovish” Mark Carney Sets A Floor for the Pound

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on August 30, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) {snip} Before Mark Carney took over as governor of the Bank of England (BoE), the main question buzzing in financial media seemed to focus on figuring out just how dovish Carney … Read more

Mind Over Yen – The Monetary Psychology Of Reflating Japan’s Economy

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on June 18, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) “There is something you should know about me, about inception. An idea is alike a virus, resilient. Highly contagious. The smallest seed of an idea can grow. It can further define … Read more