ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets
Exploring the poetry in financial markets for students of money and economy since the year 2000.
(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are posted on twitter using the #120trade hashtag) T2108 Status: 78% (third day of … Read more
This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha. Click here to read the entire piece.) Commodities across the board have suffered mightily during the stock market’s recent correction. In the first phase of the sell-off (from late July to early August), a few commodity-related stocks triggered buys by erasing all … Read more
Like many strong momentum high-tech stocks, Baidu Incorporated (BIDU) has had an incredible run from its 2009 lows. In less than three years, the stock has increased over 16x from around $10 to over $160. Last week, BIDU traded below its 200-day moving average (DMA) for the first time since April, 2009. On Thursday, BIDU … Read more
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha. Click here to read the entire piece.) On Tuesday, September 20, a JP Morgan (JPM) analyst slashed his price target on rare earth producer Molycorp (MCP) from $105 to $66. This reduction in upside from 100% to 25% helped plunge MCP to … Read more
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha. Click here to read the entire piece.) While the stock market was oversold, I focused on accumulating beaten-down, commodity-related stocks as part of my “commodities crash” playbook as explained in “Profiting from Physical Assets in a Resource-Constrained World – Rules and Picks.” … Read more
China: The five-year plan | NPR Marketplace Five years ago, Marketplace visited China for a series of special reports. During our special two-week broadcast, we covered a wide range of stories — many involving China's rapid economic growth. Some of the topics we looked at include the hidden price of China's pace, its move toward … Read more
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha. Click here to read the entire piece.) {snip} This piece is a follow-up post to “Preparing for Profits in a Resource-Constrained World” (Part 1) in which I discussed the implications of Jeremy Grantham’s fundamental thesis of a new world where resources are … Read more
China Bears Have It Wrong: Jim Rogers – CNBC Commodity bull Jim Rogers says hedge fund managers such as Jim Chanos of Kynikos Associates and Hugh Hendry of Eclectica, who have been shorting Chinese related stocks and credits, have got it wrong. "Those guys have been dead wrong for two years. Chanos said two years … Read more
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha. Click here to read the entire piece.) {snip} Two months ago or so, a friend directed my attention to Jeremy Grantham’s GMO Quarterly Newsletter for April, 2011 titled “Time to Wake Up: Days of Abundant Resources and Falling Prices Are Over Forever.” … Read more
In mid-May, I warily eyed copper as it looked ready to lead the correction in commodity prices into a complete breakdown (see “Silver Fails Resistance; All Eyes on Copper’s Support“). However, over the past six weeks, copper prices have held firm by clinging to the 200-day moving average (DMA) line of support. Source: Stockcharts.com This … Read more