Disney’s Bearish Breakdown: A Case Study of Risk Management for Long-Term Investors

The stock of Disney (DIS) has suffered a massive and very bearish breakdown this month. At the time of writing, the stock has lost 19% since closing at its last all-time high. Source: FreeStockCharts.com Disney’s first breakdown came earlier this month. The stock lost 9.2% and closed below its 50-day moving average (DMA) on extremely … Read more

The Commodity Crash Takes A Pause: An Attractive Trade on Coffee

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on August 17, 2015. Click here to read the entire piece.) The crash in commodities continues nearly unabated against a wide swath of commodities. The selling has become so extreme that I have started moving from following the trends downward to watching … Read more

Another Blow-Off Top for the U.S. Dollar Versus the Turkish Lira

Did the misery for the Turkish lira (USD/TRY) just reach a climactic end? The Turkish lira quickly lost favor in the wake of more political turmoil in Turkey. Most of the losses actually occurred right before midnight (Eastern U.S. time) and within minutes. This delayed but sharp reaction made the move look highly suspect. The … Read more

T2108 Update (August 21, 2015) – Stocks Rain Down Into Oversold Conditions

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

SPDR Gold Shares Closes A Gap As the Fed Maintains Its Churn On Rate Hikes

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on August 20, 2015. Click here to read the entire piece.) The U.S. Federal Reserve released its minutes from its July 28 to 29, 2015 meeting. It was pretty much the same back and forth on monetary policy and the U.S. and … Read more