Gold Tops Out As Odds of Next Rate Hike Point Again to 2016

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on July 21, 2016. Click here to read the entire piece.) The post-Brexit run-up in the SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) ended today. Source: FreeStockCharts.com The entire post-Brexit gap could easily fill if current momentum in other gold-related indicators continues. {snip} Source: CME … Read more

The British Pound Rises from the Edge of the Abyss

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on July 13, 2016. Click here to read the entire piece.) And so ends the flurry of sentiment on Brexit. The Google Trends chart makes “Brexit” look like a big anxiety bubble. While sentiment has calmed down, the British pound (FXB) is … Read more

How to Reconcile Brexit Uncertainties and the Rally in Stock Markets: Don’t

“Faint and quaint” is how I am starting to describe the initial panic and consternation of financial markets resulting from the UK’s decision to exit from the European Union (EU), aka Brexit. The S&P 500 (SPY) now logs new all-time highs as if nothing ever happened. Yet, a rapid consensus has grown around reducing forecasts … Read more

T2108 Update (July 18, 2016) – Bullish Momentum Continues With A Wary Eye on Volatility

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

T2108 Update (July 12, 2016) – Despite Unbalance, GRAVITY Eases the Way for An Overbought S&P 500

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more