Play Joy Global Earnings For Upside…With A Hedge

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on May 29, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) {snip} JOY reports earnings on the morning of May 31st with its stock struggling to stay above 2011 lows. The weekly chart shows how for a second time JOY has lost … Read more

T2108 Update (May 29, 2012) – Rising Stocks, Sinking Euro

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are posted on twitter using the #120trade hashtag) T2108 Status: 29.6% (Last oversold period … Read more

Correlations Are Broken But Australian Dollar Still Leads The S&P 500

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on May 26, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) The Australian dollar…{snip}…has been highly correlated with the S&P 500 (SPY) for much of the last six years and more. The correlation has broken down at critical moments, the most interesting … Read more

Time For Yet Another Pairs Trade As Juniper Networks and Cisco Systems Plunge

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on May 26, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) {snip} I became so comfortable with the JNPR side of the trade that I never blinked while accumulating a fresh JNPR position over the past two and a half months without … Read more

Siemens AG Trades On the Edge As German Manufacturing Continues to Contract

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on May 24, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) German industrial powerhouse Siemens AG (SI) is trading on the edge of a major breakdown. {snip} Source: FreeStockCharts.com With Thursday’s very poor German manufacturing numbers, I highly doubt Siemens can avoid … Read more

Chart Review – JPMorgan Chase Ends the Week Where It Began: Flatline for The Year

JPMorgan Chase (JPM) began the week with all of its gains for 2012 erased in the wake of news of its hedging losses. JPM ended the week in the same place after having dropped as much as another 3.9%. The brief rally from the lows carried strong buying volume. This action looks like a temporary … Read more

As Gold and Silver Reawaken, It Is Time to Buy Cheap Miners like Pan American Silver

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on May 21, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) Gold and silver have languished since reaching their last peaks in 2011. {snip} Last week, gold and silver reawakened and made sharp reversals. {snip} Note that the dollar’s resurgence since hitting … Read more

T2108 Update (May 23, 2012) – Oversold Period Ends While Risks Remain High

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are posted on twitter using the #120trade hashtag) T2108 Status: 22.5% (Last oversold period … Read more

BHP’s Price Warning Brings the Commodity Crash Playbook Back In Focus

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on May 20, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) BHP Billiton (BHP) Chairman Jacques Nasser raised eyebrows in a discussion with reporters on Wednesday, May 16th when he indicated that commodity prices are likely to keep falling for now: “The … Read more