Chart Review: Intel and Cisco Pullback From Critical Resistance

The NASDAQ has churned mightily in an uptrend that is slowly but surely grinding upward from the June lows. Support at the 200DMA held in June and now the technology-laden index is working on holding support at the 50DMA. Embedded in this churning action are lots of chills and thrills. Two big cap tech stocks … Read more

T2108 Update (July 20, 2012) – Rejected From A Breakout

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are posted on twitter using the #120trade hashtag) T2108 Status: 70.9% (6th overbought day) … Read more

KB Home Continues to Struggle With Former Downtrend From Peak of Housing Bubble

I have written positively several times about Kb Home (KBH) this year (for example, see “KB Home ‘On Offense’ As Its Housing Markets And Pricing Power Strengthen“). KBH is up nicely for the year through a lot of turbulent price action, but it has yet to shake its former downtrend drawn from the peak of … Read more

T2108 Update (July 18, 2012) – On the Edge of An Extended Overbought Rally

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are posted on twitter using the #120trade hashtag) T2108 Status: 76.3% (4th overbought day) … Read more

Changing to A Bearish Strategy On the British Pound

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on July 13, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) After another pins and needles rally back to the 50DMA resistance, I think it is time to switch to a more bearish strategy on the British pound (FXB). Since mid-June, I … Read more

Australian Dollar On the Verge Of Another Breakout

The trading action in forex is starting to pick up again with quickly changing setups. Of the many twists, the Australian dollar (FXA) continues to capture a lot of my attention. Currently, the Aussie looks ready to break out against the U.S. dollar. Source: FreeStockCharts.com AUD/USD is now positive again for the year, and, at … Read more

A Bottom for Netflix Is Not Confirmed Until Its Next Earnings Report

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on July 11, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) In the past, I have only had bearish things to say about Netflix (for example, “Netflix Tags the $110 Target But More Downside To Come” from September 30, 2011). However, I … Read more

The Japanese Yen Is Reasserting Itself

The U.S. dollar’s jagged rally from last year’s lows has finally brought it back to its “QE2 reference price.” At the same time, a carry trade seems to be lifting the Australian dollar in “risk-on” fashion. In the background, the Japanese yen is slowly but surely reasserting itself as the strongest of the major currencies … Read more

Atlanta Fed’s Lockhart: “QE3 Is An Option”

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on June 29, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) On June 27, 2012, Nightly Business Report interviewed Dennis Lockhart, President of the Atlanta Federal Reserve about the U.S. economy. During the interview, Lockhart indicated that the economic anecdotes he hears … Read more

T2108 Update (July 13, 2012) – A Fresh Overbought Cycle As S&P 500 Bounces Off 50DMA Again

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are posted on twitter using the #120trade hashtag) T2108 Status: 74.1% (1st overbought day … Read more