Above the 40 (May 10, 2019) – A Constructive Stock Market

AT40 = 49.4% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs)AT200 = 49.9% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAsVIX = 16.0Short-term Trading Call: neutral Stock Market Commentary The stock market’s coordinated yet precarious dance around 50-day moving averages (DMAs) continued on Friday. The latest round of technical battles played out … Read more

Bitcoin Hits Milestone Yet One Indicator Looms As An End to Price Surge

The Price Action A little over a month ago I made the case for a sustained bottom in Bitcoin (BTC/USD) based on the price action combined with Google Trends. I stated the following hypothesis: “a spike in search interest confirms a strong change in price behavior.” The on-going uptrend since that point proves out the hypothesis in … Read more

Above the 40 (May 9, 2019) – A Coordinated Yet Precarious Stock Market Dance Around Key Trendlines

AT40 = 45.6% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs)AT200 = 48.5% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAsVIX = 19.1Short-term Trading Call: neutral Stock Market Commentary President Trump carried through on his threat to increase tariffs on China while at the same time tantalizing markets with fresh hope over … Read more

Forex Critical: The Organized Chaos of the Turkish Lira

The British pound (FXB) is not the only currency trading in well-defined chaos. The Turkish lira stumbled into the week in the wake of the political uncertainty and forex chaos caused by the cancellation of the results of Istanbul’s recent municipal elections. USD/TRY soared at one point about 3%. The renewed political uncertainty reportedly comes … Read more

Above the 40 (May 3, 2019) – A Faithful Stock Market Push Through Bearish Divergence

AT40 = 63.4% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs)AT200 = 55.1% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAsVIX = 12.9Short-term Trading Call: neutral Stock Market Commentary The stock market is keeping the faith. The previous week ended with a U.S. GDP report for Q1 2019 that represented well the … Read more