Fresh Stock Market Breakout Finally Challenges the Bearish Divergence – Above the 40 (November 15, 2019)

AT40 = 60.2% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs)AT200 = 55.2% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAsVIX = 12.1Short-term Trading Call: neutral Stock Market Commentary The stock market’s slow and steady march toward Christmas continued last week. The S&P 500 (SPY) drifted slightly higher during the week until … Read more

Lessons from the 2019 Seasonal Trade on Home Builders

The iShares US Home Construction (ITB) annualized performance was very steady for 2019.

The ETF Performance The 2019 seasonal trade for home builders was a dramatic one that departed from the typical script. The iShares US Home Construction (ITB) suffered greatly in the late 2018 sell-off. The housing market softened as one of the most notable features of the sell-off in the stock market. Several home builders made … Read more

Disney Plussed

Disney (DIS) is pulling back sharply from its 1-day surge on the heels of subscriber numbers for Disney +

From Underwhelmed to Overwhelmed Disney (DIS) finally officially jumped into the streaming wars with its introduction of Disney +. The service launched on November 12, 2019 with a press release announcing: ” Disney+, the highly anticipated streaming service from The Walt Disney Company, launched today in the U.S., Canada, and The Netherlands. With nearly 500 … Read more

Century Communities Earnings Q3 2019: Strong Top Line Not Enough to Cover Question Marks

Overall Assessment I want to be bullish on Century Communities (CCS). Century Communities sports a recession-level valuation and a strong top-line growth profile. The company’s business model is solidly planted in the entry-level and lower-priced homes that are prime drivers of the current housing market. However, a negative cash balance, negative earnings growth (over the … Read more

Nike Kicks Amazon.com Into Bearish Territory

Amazon.com (AMZN) lost 1.4% on a drop below its 50DMA on the way toward a reversal of the post-earnings recovery.

A Failed Pilot “…with a direct partnership, Nike will be able to ‘elevate the way the brand is presented’ by gaining more control over how its products are marketed on the site…” Former Nike CEO Mark Parker quoted in CNN Business (June 29, 2017) In 2017, the Nike (NKE) pilot with Amazon.com (AMZN) held a … Read more