Tesla: Post Cybertruck Trading Strategies

The Breakdown Big events can create distinct trading goalposts. Elon Musk’s big reveal for the Cybertruck created the next big goalpost for Tesla (TSLA). The event delivered a bonus with the amount of derision and scorn heaped upon the stark and sharp ugliness of the truck and the big double fail on the test of … Read more

M.D.C. Holdings Earnings Q3 2019: A Sharp Decline in Housing Sentiment

Overall Assessment The stocks of home builders have had a banner year. The failure of the iShares Dow Jones Home Construction ETF (ITB) right at the climactic high of January, 2018 exposed a change in sentiment at an important juncture. So far, M.D.C Holdings (MDC) has suffered one of the most damaging changes in sentiment. MDC … Read more

Roku Sellers: How to Trade If Insiders Are Preparing for a Top

Roku (ROKU) lost 3.9% on news of insider-selling and stopped just short of the all-time high set in early September.

The Stock Performance Roku (ROKU) is up an eye-popping 402% in 2019 year-to-date. ROKU surged off a 13-month low in December, 2018, and the run-up included three straight very positive post-earnings surges. The stock hit its closing all-time high at a stratospheric $169.86 on September 6, 2019. Soon after that milestone, competitive news from Apple … Read more

Fresh Stock Market Breakout Finally Challenges the Bearish Divergence – Above the 40 (November 15, 2019)

AT40 = 60.2% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs)AT200 = 55.2% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAsVIX = 12.1Short-term Trading Call: neutral Stock Market Commentary The stock market’s slow and steady march toward Christmas continued last week. The S&P 500 (SPY) drifted slightly higher during the week until … Read more

Lessons from the 2019 Seasonal Trade on Home Builders

The iShares US Home Construction (ITB) annualized performance was very steady for 2019.

The ETF Performance The 2019 seasonal trade for home builders was a dramatic one that departed from the typical script. The iShares US Home Construction (ITB) suffered greatly in the late 2018 sell-off. The housing market softened as one of the most notable features of the sell-off in the stock market. Several home builders made … Read more