ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets
Exploring the poetry in financial markets for students of money and economy since the year 2000.
A Breakout and Reversal The price of cocoa has had a wild two months. Last month’s breakout quickly turned into a fade and an outright sell-off in December. The result for the iPath Bloomberg Cocoa SubTR ETN (NIB) is a complete reversal of the breakout, a return to the bottom of the previous consolidation range, … Read more
AT40 = 65.7% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs)AT200 = 59.8% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs (just under high for 2019 of 60.2%)VIX = 12.5Short-term Trading Call: neutral Stock Market Commentary The bearish divergence finally ended between a range-bound AT40 (T2108) and an S&P 500 (SPY) steadily … Read more
I believe there is an old Wall Street adage that describes the inevitability of a stock hitting $100 once it gets “close enough” to that price level. One hundred is a nice round number, and it looks like a major (psychological) milestone. So when both Nike (NKE) and Carmax (KMX) suffered post-earnings pullbacks from around … Read more
The day after ShotSpotter (SSTI) reported earnings last month, the stock gained 6.4%. The buyers returned for the next four days to confirm a breakout above resistance at the 50-day moving average (DMA). SSTI closed the week up 32.1% post-earnings, and the stock looks like it finally wants to bottom. The 50DMA is turning upward … Read more
With a Partial Phase One Trade Deal apparently at hand between the U.S. and China, emerging markets look more interesting than ever. I am scouring the charts for entry points in related currency pairs. The South African rand looks particularly interesting. Against the U.S. dollar, the rand (USD/ZAR) created a double top from September, 2018 … Read more