Atlassian Is Poised to Survive the SaaSpocalypse

Atlassian Corporation (TEAM) has lost nearly half its value in just the first 6 weeks of 2026 and now trades at prices last seen in December, 2018.

The SaaSpocalypse, or what I sometimes generally call the AI Panic, is a watershed investing event. Whole fortunes are stumbling down a path of destruction in this moment. Yet, the survivors of this indiscriminate selling will yield tremendous returns in coming years. Panic does not distinguish between fragile business models and structurally durable platforms. In … Read more

The Market Is Thrashing – Fragmentation Is Getting Dangerous: The Market Breadth

The Market Is Thrashing - Fragmentation Is Getting Dangerous - The Market Breadth

The Market Breadth Summary Stock Market Commentary Chaotic trading continued last week. Some segments of the market are doing extremely poorly and other segments of the market that are doing extremely well. A market rotation has turned into stark divergence hidden by major indices which are mainly thrashing about. I see three major signals. One, … Read more

A Thoma Bravo Lens On Sorting SaaSpocalypse Survivors

A Thoma Bravo Lens On Sorting SaaSpocalypse Survivors

Thoma Bravo’s Buying Framework Amid the AI Panic The AI-driven fear in software stocks is palpable with daily headlines and relentless product releases from the AI disruptors. The buying opportunities are broadening so fast that I have to create and maintain a structured framework for separating the survivors from the laggards. As a part of … Read more

BOX Caught in an AI-Driven Software Selloff: Identifying Platform Opportunities Amid Market Fear

Box, Inc - CEO Aaron Levie

Software stocks suffered significant carnage last week and further tested my plan to target buys of beaten up software stocks this year. With his company caught up in the vortex, Box Inc (BOX) CEO Aaron Levie appeared on CNBC to give his version of an “everyone keep calm” speech. Levie presented a compelling platform-level case … Read more

Pressure Intensifies for Software Stocks – The Market Breadth

pressure intensifies for software stocks - the market breadth

Stock Market Analysis Summary Mounting pressure on software stocks stands out as weakening market breadth coincides with multiple key technical breakdowns. A neutral stance remains appropriate as market breadth continues to deteriorate, offsetting selective AI-driven strength in semiconductors and small caps. Buying decisions stay highly selective, with technical confirmation guiding risk while bearish signals continue … Read more