T2108 Update (December 7, 2016) – The Major Overbought Breakout Arrives

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

Housing Market Review – Same Strong Data, Different Market Sentiment (November, 2016)

The last Housing Market Review covered data reported in September for August, 2016. At that time, iShares US Home Construction (ITB) was at the tail-end of an extended sell-off. I noted the irony of the acceleration of selling in the wake of a new home sales number that was the second-highest of this post-recession period. … Read more

Housing Market Review – Strong Housing Data Fail to Alleviate Doubts on Home Builders (October, 2016)

The last Housing Market Review covered data reported in September for August, 2016. At that time, iShares US Home Construction (ITB) started a notable divergence from the performance of the S&P 500 (SPY). That divergence widened in October with the S&P 500 losing 1.9% month-to-date and ITB tumbling 6.8%. The selling in ITB has been … Read more

T2108 Update (October 28, 2016) – Divergences Weigh Further on the Stock Market

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

Housing Market Review – Slowing Data and A Fed-Related Overhang Mute Strong Sentiment (September, 2016)

The last Housing Market Review covered data reported in August for July, 2016. New home sales soaring to a fresh post-recession high made the big headline even as sentiment among home builders remained essentially flatline for the year. This time around, new home sales cooled off month-over-month as builder sentiment finally showed life with a … Read more