ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets
Exploring the poetry in financial markets for students of money and economy since the year 2000.
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on March 26, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) Despite an improving outlook for KB Home (KBH), the stock sold off post-earnings on Friday. KBH dropped 8.5% for the day after dropping as much as 15.0% and after closing the … Read more
Unlike Prior Decades, House-Price Changes in Largest District Cities Are Following National Trends (St. Louis Federal Reserve) Although some areas of the country had experienced declines in the past, few people thought a nationwide decline in house prices was likely. However, all national indexes of house prices did fall significantly in recent years. And if … Read more
“IPOs Boost Demand for Silicon Valley Mansions” – Bloomberg “US Housing Crisis Is Now Worse Than Great Depression” – CNBC These two headlines from Tuesday’s financial press describe well the dichotomy in America’s two-speed economy. Corporate profits have never been better but employment has rarely been worse. The housing market in Silicon Valley is benefiting … Read more
My brother and I go back and forth in our discussions about the dynamics of the housing industry. He is good on the fundamentals, and I substitute my weakness on the fundamentals with technical analysis, sentiment analysis, and the information I can glean from earnings calls. Today, he wrote out his latest case for the … Read more
Five months ago, I flagged $45M in combined stock sales by the Toll brothers in their company’s stock. Since then, Toll Brothers (TOL) has been on a roller coaster ride: the stock was first up 15% from the time of my last post, then a two-month and 26% decline, and now a two-month 40% run. … Read more