Bitcoin: A False $12K Breakout Creates the Pause That Refreshes

Trees do not grow to the sky – even cryptocurrency trees with Bitcoin leaves. The old adage describes a core rule of the physics of price momentum. Whether buying or selling, traders and investors eventually exhaust themselves – whether existing resources are too low to maintain buying pressure or motivated sellers finally run out of … Read more

Bitcoin: Latest Price Failures Plant Me On the Sidelines

Price Failures The furious rally in Bitcoin (BTC/USD) from the March lows helped take my mind off the on-going downtrend in price. Since the last major peak in price at $13,880 on June 26, 2019, BTC/USD has made a series of lower highs and lower lows. The last peak in price was on May 7th … Read more

Bitcoin Breakout: March Losses Behind, $10K Ahead

Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is surging after a convincing 200DMA breakout.

The Bitcoin Price Breakout Bitcoin (BTC/USD) wiped away my wariness about the price action with one clean breakout that finished a reversal of March’s steep losses. For about five days, Bitcoin was teasing its way toward a challenge of overhead resistance at its downtrending 200-day moving average (DMA). During the previous day, Bitcoin gained about … Read more

The Quick (and Hopeful) Case for A New Bitcoin Bottom

Bitcoin (BTC/USD) has liquidated alongside financial markets...until this past week.

My first warning on Bitcoin (BTCUSD) came when Bitcoin failed to push through overhead resistance from October’s brief and failed run-up (see the horizontal line above) despite the bullish case being made at the time about the breakout. The most convincing warning came when the cryptocurrency sold off with the stock market in late February. … Read more

Bitcoin: A Trading Note for Breakouts, 10K and the Halving

Bitcoin (BTCUSD) broke out from a downtrend in late January but hit a wall at upper resistance last week.

The Price Action Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is on more media radars after breaking out above $10,000 last week. Last month, Bitcoin broke out from a downtrend in place since the last big run-up peaked in June, 2019. The $10K breakout ran into a wall from resistance formed by the high when Bitcoin suddenly spiked straight up … Read more

Bitcoin: Waning Interest Weighing Down the Price

The Price Action The excitement did not last. On October 25th and 26th, Bitcoin (BTC/USD) soared out of nowhere, and it interrupted my expectation for an imminent opportunity to accumulate for Bitcoin in the $6500-7000 range. That opportunity is finally here as a month-long slide accelerates. Wavering Signals from The Google Trends Momentum Check The … Read more

The Google Trend Momentum Check Points to Next Launchpad for Bitcoin

This weekly view of Google Trends for Bitcoin shows a steady uptrend featuring higher highs and higher lows since Bitcoin broke out in April.

Bitcoin (BTC/USD) made a major peak on June 26th. Since then, the cryptocurrency has pivoted around its 50-day moving average (DMA). Three breakdowns of that line of support have been met with buyers which suggests to me that Bitcoin is consolidating a launchpad for imminently higher prices. The Google Trend Momentum Check (GTMC) supports my … Read more

Bitcoin Faces Important Price Test As Sentiment Wanes Again

Bitcoin (BTC/USD) faces down an important test of its uptrending 50DMA right at the round-number $10,000 level.

As Bitcoin (BTC/USD) pulls back again to the $10,000 level, there is a lot of news swirling to explain the sell-off. Google Trends still works as a way to cut through the haze on Bitcoin. Fresh Validation for The Google Trend Momentum Check When Bitcoin ended its last parabolic run on June 26, Google Trends … Read more

How to Use the Google Trend Momentum Check (GTMC) With Bitcoin Prices

Bitcoin (BTC/USD) continues to provide great data points for using Google Trends to assess the sustainability of significant price movements. So many milestones have occurred in such a short period of time that I decided to name this process: the Google Trend Momentum Check or “GTMC” for short. The latest example of the GTMC occurred … Read more

Bitcoin Breakout: A 13-Month High Confirmed By Google Search Trends

Bitcoin (BTC-USD) broke out to a 13-month high this week, and Google Trends likely confirmed the move just like it confirmed the big April breakout. Google Trends provides an index showing the relative changes in the popularity of Google searches. On the same day that Bitcoin broke out, June 16th, Google searches on “Bitcoin” jumped … Read more