Trading the Panic In the British Pound

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on October 11, 2016. Click here to read the entire piece.) The panic in the British pound (FXB) became unmistakable last week as the currency experienced a flash crash. {snip} The presumed driver of the rush to sell soon after the close … Read more

Hammond Sets Up Next Trading Opportunity On the British Pound

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on September 25, 2016. Click here to read the entire piece.) Source: UK Government Nothing shows better the edginess of traders than a quick trigger reaction to rumored news. On Friday, September 16 rumors ripped through the news headlines that the UK’s … Read more

The British Pound Finds Fresh Support In The UK’s Economic About-Face

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on September 7, 2016. Click here to read the entire piece.) The theme was consistent for the Markit economic indicators for August: the UK economy rebounded sharply and strongly from the initial post-Brexit blues. Almost across the board, measures of economic activity … Read more

The British Pound Rises from the Edge of the Abyss

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on July 13, 2016. Click here to read the entire piece.) And so ends the flurry of sentiment on Brexit. The Google Trends chart makes “Brexit” look like a big anxiety bubble. While sentiment has calmed down, the British pound (FXB) is … Read more

The Anatomy of a Bottom for the British Pound

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on June 26, 2016. Click here to read the entire piece.) The British pound (FXB) suffered a historic plunge in the wake of Brexit’s victory, the beginning of the UK’s divorce from the European Union (EU). While headlines have been full of … Read more

From the United Kingdom’s Biggest Stocks: Thank You, Brexit

The vote by the United Kingdom (UK) to leave the European Union (EU), aka Brexit, kicked off a series of market events that collectively seem very surreal. First, there was the global rally in financial markets going into the vote. Relieved market participants appeared to anticipate a victory by the Remain side. Next came two … Read more

T2108 Update (June 27, 2016) – Brexit Helps Drive Stock Market Toward Oversold

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

T2108 Update (June 23, 2016) – At the Very Edge of Overbought, Brexit and Awe

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

T2108 Update (June 22, 2016) – Fear Indicators Diverge On Brexit Eve

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

Brexit Fear Recedes And Creates A New Trading Opportunity

At the time of writing, currency markets opened trading this week with Brexit fear continuing to recede in the form of a big gap in favor of the British pound (FXB). Google Trends shows that on Friday, search interest in Brexit took a big step back (down 17%). This move confirms the apparent change in … Read more