T2108 Update (September 9, 2014) – Red Flags Get Brighter

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

Forex Setup Week (August 24, 2014): That Stubborn Australian Dollar

In last week’s edition of Forex Setup Week, I pointed to the “quiet” strength of the Swiss franc (FXF) with a particular focus on its trade against the euro (FXE) in EUR/CHF. Although the euro continued to weaken through the week, the franc did so as well. So now, EUR/CHF is essentially where it was … Read more

An Over-Extended U.S. Dollar and A Complete Reversal for Gold

The U.S. dollar (UUP) is at 11-month highs. The dollar index is finally showing the strength many expected from the beginning of 2014 in anticipation of strong economic numbers and subsequent rate hikes. The chart above shows that the U.S. dollar index has been on a relative tear since bouncing off its QE3 reference price … Read more

T2108 Update (August 14, 2014) – S&P 500 Faces Its First Big Test After Lifting From Oversold Conditions

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

Forex Positioning Update: Short Euro, Canadian Dollar, Australian Dollar, Long Pound

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on April 7, 2014. Click here to read the entire piece.) There was a lot of action last week in the foreign exchange market. This piece is a quick update on how I have adjusted and/or maintained positioning in select currencies: the … Read more