ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets
Exploring the poetry in financial markets for students of money and economy since the year 2000.
AT40 = 43.8% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 52.6% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 10.4 (volatility index) Short-term Trading Call: cautiously bullish Commentary And just like that, the stock market made it even harder for me to keep a bullish bias on … Read more
AT40 = 42.8% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 54.3% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 12.0 (volatility index) – a 17.9% decrease Short-term Trading Call: neutral (bullish only after the latest Trump Turmoil reverses OR oversold conditions, potentially bearish upon a retest of … Read more
I am surprised Fed futures traders still firmly expect a rate hike from the U.S. Federal Reserve in June. Source: CME FedWatch Tool After the stock market sell-off in the wake of more Trump turmoil, the market pegged the odds of a June rate hike from the U.S. Federal Reserve at 64.6%. Above 50% means … Read more
AT40 = 36.5% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 51.2% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 15.6 (volatility index) – a 46.4% increase!!! Short-term Trading Call: neutral (downgrade from cautiously bullish) Commentary Time to downgrade my cautious bullishness to neutral. The S&P 500 (SPY) … Read more
I may have flipped outright bearish on the U.S. dollar index (DXY0) just in time. My change in sentiment started with my increasing bullishness on the euro (FXE). With the euro constituting about 51% of the U.S. dollar index, I realized that it would be hard to remain bullish on the dollar overall while adopting … Read more