T2108 Update (October 23, 2012) – Breakdown

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are highly likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades … Read more

Reserve Bank of Australia Downgrades Economic Conditions, Eyes Lower Currency

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on October 2, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) I expected the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) to stand pat on rates in its latest statement on monetary policy. Instead, the RBA cut rates by 25 basis points to 3.25% … Read more

Recent Examples of Intraday Relationship Between the Australian Dollar and the S&P 500

In “How To Estimate Intraday Moves For The S&P 500 Using The Australian Dollar“, I quantified the relationship between the Australian dollar and the S&P 500 on an intraday basis. However, I did not provide any charts demonstrating the relationships. The chart below tracks the intraday relationships between SPY as a proxy for the S&P … Read more

T2108 Update (October 3, 2012) – Bearish Divergence With A Caveat

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are highly likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades … Read more

T2108 Update (September 25, 2012) – On the Edge

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are highly likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades … Read more

How To Estimate Intraday Moves For The S&P 500 Using The Australian Dollar

In numerous posts I have described the intriguingly consistent and profitable relationship between the Australian dollar (FXA) and the S&P 500 (for example, see “A Hypothesis for the Connection Between the Australian Dollar and the S&P 500“). In recent weeks, I have also noticed periodic patterns in the way the Australian dollar trades versus the … Read more

T2108 Update (September 20, 2012) – Warily Waiting for the Next Ramp Up

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are highly likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades … Read more

Now that Bernanke Has Made His Move, It Is Azumi’s Turn

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on September 14, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) In the Federal Reserve’s latest statement on monetary policy, Chairman Ben Bernanke basically announced that the Fed is giving the economy a blank check: {snip} This forceful action is likely much … Read more

Reserve Bank of Australia Provides Some Relief for the Australian Dollar

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on September 4, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) On Sunday, September 2, the Australian dollar (FXA) drifted back to flatline for the year against the U.S. dollar. This move prompted me to tweet the following: “$AUDUSD close to flat … Read more

Australian Dollar’s Rebound Faces Critical Test Against U.S. Dollar

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on September 12, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) In one more day, the Federal Reserve announces its next decision on monetary policy. In anticipation, the dollar (UUP) has traded lower and lower. The Australian dollar (FXA) has been one … Read more