T2108 Update (September 4, 2012) – Stalemate, Part 2…But Warning Signals Keep Multiplying

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are highly likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades … Read more

T2108 Update (August 21, 2012) – False Breakout and a Topping Pattern

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are posted on twitter using the #120trade hashtag) T2108 Status: 71.7% (fifth day of … Read more

T2108 Update (August 16, 2012) – Pressure Released Into A Breakout, Apple On the Edge

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are posted on twitter using the #120trade hashtag) T2108 Status: 73.6% (second day of … Read more

Chart Review: Apple Breaks Out

The recovery from the post-earnings dip in July is officially complete for Apple (AAPL). On Monday, August 6th, AAPL broke out from a short trading range defined at the bottom by the psychologically important $600 level and at the top by the April post-earnings high. This breakout symbolizes the neutralization of whatever worries prevented buyers … Read more

Apple’s Important Macro and Forex Calls and Likely Post-Earnings Recovery

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on July 29, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) {snip} Like all companies with extensive international presence, Apple took a hit from the strong dollar (UUP)… {snip} Apple appears to expect continued strength in the U.S. dollar as the company … Read more

Chart Review: As Expected, Apple Fills Post-Earnings Gap – Waiting Now For Bullish Breakout

Apple (AAPL) filled last week’s post-earnings gap in just four days. As discussed in “Apple’s Important Macro And Forex Calls And Likely Post-Earnings Recovery,” AAPL’s historical performance suggested a near certainty that this gap would get filled BEFORE the next earnings report. I gave a 50/50 chance on whether the gap would get filled in … Read more

Apple July Earnings Play Hinges On The Final Days

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on July 22, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) With an increasingly dour macro-economic backdrop, one might expect a very large response to Apple’s July earnings report {snip}… However, the trading action going into Tuesday evening’s earnings report was very … Read more

Chart Review: Back Into Puts As Yelp.com Fails to Establish New Highs

In about one month, Yelp.com (YELP) doubled from its all-time lows to a retest of its all-time highest close. Along the way, Apple (AAPL) made the following announcement on June 11th: “…local search includes information for over 100 million businesses with info cards that offer Yelp ratings, reviews, available deals and photos.” YELP did not … Read more

Chart Review: Apple’s Revenge Part Two

It seems Friday’s stalemate was indeed a demonstration of Apple buyers finally putting up a fight. Apple’s stock is still in a short-term downtrend, but the trading action has been electrifying almost the entire way down. The wild swings and near symmetry of the move downward are the kind of “art” that only a chart … Read more