ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets
Exploring the poetry in financial markets for students of money and economy since the year 2000.
“…we do not believe that real demand…has really improved much since the end of last year, and we don’t see things in the economy from a flat roll standpoint or long product standpoint whether you’re talking automotive, construction, housing, non-residential construction, oil county[sic] goods or what have you, we don’t see that there is a … Read more
John Lewis: 4-year-olds are getting tax credits for buying homes | Political Insider It’s more than passing strange that, in the U.S. Senate, Johnny Isakson of Georgia has been pushing an expanded tax credit for homebuyers while, in the House, U.S. Rep. John Lewis of Atlanta is examining abuse of the same. (tags: housing fraud … Read more
The last hour of trading on Wednesday was marred by swift, high-volume selling, an extremely rare sight in the current market. It seemed to come from “nowhere” but the signs of some kind of reversal have been building in some poor post-earnings trading in many big-cap names. I earlier pointed out that Intel (INTC) seems … Read more
I have not reviewed T2108, the percentage of stocks trading above their 40-day moving average (DMA), or its close cousin T2107, the percentage of stocks trading above their 200-day moving average, since late April (click here for the review). For most of the intervening weeks and months, the message has remained the same: over-bought and … Read more
Fastenal (FAST) is a $5.8B market cap industrial company that supplies components and parts for construction and manufacturing. FAST reported earnings yesterday that again confirmed a recurring theme of weakness in non-residential construction. This area has often been called “the next shoe to drop” that will presage further weakness in the economy. This drop has … Read more
It appears that this month’s WYNN strangle options play will fail. Relative calm has returned to WYNN (Wynn Resorts Ltd.) shares as the stock has remained flat since I launch the trade. There have been moments of action. WYNN dropped over 10% from recent highs to begin the month, but I chose not to close … Read more
Watching the U.S. dollar try to rally is like watching a wet noodle trying to stand up…in a downpour. The latest relief rally that I expected in the U.S. dollar came and went with a whimper. A week of lackluster meandering upward has ended with three days of selling, punctuated by the Reserve Bank of … Read more
Some fun facts: Gold (GLD) is up 18% for 2009. The S&P 500 is up 17% for 2009. The S&P 500 has essentially gone nowhere in “real gold” terms. The angriest bears out there might declare that the stock market rally is merely a mirage, the result of the decreasing value of paper currency. I … Read more
Thursday’s stock market sell-off could finally be the start of the sharp Fall correction I have speculated about in various forms for months now. The extent of the technical damage and the heavy distribution of stock certainly seem to have put a ceiling on stock prices for now. Solar stocks were heavily hit as speculative … Read more
Today has been a wild day in the financial markets, and I almost hesitate to jot down my thoughts before the close of trading. However, I will be shutting things down to get the weekend started as soon as possible, so I am writing now while thoughts remain fresh. There is no one theme I … Read more