The Bulls Converge on the December CPI Report – The Market Breadth

bulls converge (Credit: Bulls by Creative Ignition from Flickr)

Stock Market Commentary: After celebrating slightly weak economic data last Friday, stock market buyers and bulls have trained their eyes on the December CPI (Consumer Price Index) report. The bullish trading action for the last two days suggests market participants are expecting weaker than expected inflation data. In turn, such a report would strengthen hopes … Read more

A Path of Least Resistance Offers A Reprieve – The Market Breadth

path of least resistance (Credit: The path of least resistance by Eduardo Mueses on Flickr)

Stock Market Commentary: Yesterday’s surge in the Japanese yen (FXY) may have exhausted enough sellers to clear the path for some holiday cheer in the stock market. Suddenly, the market seemed to transition from the heavy burdens of a stubbornly hawkish Fed to the alluring hopes from a lack of (scheduled) negative catalysts for the … Read more

An October Sugar High Ends Oversold Trading – The Market Breadth

sugar high

Stock Market Commentary: September was somber. October so far is a sugar high in comparison. With the remaining pandemic era gains preserved for now, the major indices immediately face the challenge of downtrends in place since August’s peak. The conclusion of an extended (8 days long) oversold trading period means, according to history, that at … Read more

And Then There Was Just One – The Market Breadth

and then there was just one (credit gato-gato-gato)

Stock Market Commentary: And then there was just one. The S&P 500 (SPY) is once again the lone index of three that still trades just outside the clutches of the bear. The signs were flashing red last week as the bear market looked like it warmed right back up. The technicals of market breadth combined … Read more

Inflation Readout Drives A Fakeout and Ends One Bear Market – The Market Breadth

Stock Market Commentary: The stock market threw a big fakeout, the biggest I have seen in a long time. Just yesterday, a synchronized failure at key resistance levels from the major indices combined with a drop from overbought conditions to convince me to get (cautiously) bearish on the stock market. The read on July CPI … Read more