And Then There Was Just One – The Market Breadth

and then there was just one (credit gato-gato-gato)

Stock Market Commentary: And then there was just one. The S&P 500 (SPY) is once again the lone index of three that still trades just outside the clutches of the bear. The signs were flashing red last week as the bear market looked like it warmed right back up. The technicals of market breadth combined … Read more

Inflation Readout Drives A Fakeout and Ends One Bear Market – The Market Breadth

Stock Market Commentary: The stock market threw a big fakeout, the biggest I have seen in a long time. Just yesterday, a synchronized failure at key resistance levels from the major indices combined with a drop from overbought conditions to convince me to get (cautiously) bearish on the stock market. The read on July CPI … Read more

Tesla, Inc: What Potential Rally Fatigue Looks Like

In “What Recession? Market Shows Love As Apple Leads the Way“, I raised a yellow flag on a critical test for the market at the overbought threshold. I described the conditions dividing the market from a bearish reversal and an extended bullish rally. The stock market left the situation in suspense by gapping down, falling … Read more

How Bear Market Trading Beat Stocks Back to Oversold’s Edge – The Market Breadth

Stock Market Commentary First, a strong jobs report unnerved the stock market. Next, strong inflation unraveled the stock market as bear market trading beat stocks back to oversold’s edge. Perhaps ironically, the White House sounded an early alarm bell about the inflation report and gave market participants a head start in selling. Sellers quickly flipped … Read more

The Worst Kind of Oversold Bounce – The Market Breadth

Stock Market Commentary: The expected first of the month buying only showed up in the last hour of trading, but it still made an important impression. The recovery created a picture perfect bounce off the oversold threshold. At the same time the S&P 500 perfectly tapped its May, 2021 closing low before recovering. The volatility … Read more