ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets
Exploring the poetry in financial markets for students of money and economy since the year 2000.
Stock Market Commentary Jackson Hole did not provide the market moving spark that I expected. Instead, soft economic news delivered the decisive interpretation of future monetary policy required to provide a fresh catalyst for stocks. The bullish spark caught me flat-footed as I was leaning into imminent oversold trading conditions. Fortunately, the sentiment shift was … Read more
Stock Market Commentary A week ago, buyers did their best to push against topping stock indices by restarting overbought conditions. That overbought period lasted just 3 days as a Fitch downgrade of U.S. Treasury debt freshly cooled the summer of loving stocks. The resulting selling confirmed topping conditions and greased the skids of the stock … Read more
(An audio version of this blog post is available on SoundCloud) A no regrets decision is a high quality decision. When backed by a systematic framework, preferably something like the decision chain which I use in my consulting practice, a decisionmaker has reasonably and practically exhausted all available options to improve the inputs to the … Read more
Stock Market Commentary The Federal Reserve’s latest pronouncement on monetary policy was supposed to provide the drama of the week. However, the stock market yawned and resumed the buying of the summer of love at the open of trading the next day. Enter the Bank of Japan (BoJ) to provide the real drama. The fireworks … Read more
I earlier claimed that market breadth would only push higher with the participation of small cap stocks. Well the big moment of truth already arrived as the iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) punched through its bear market line for the third time in 11 months. With the S&P 500 (SPY) and the NASDAQ (COMPQ) relentlessly … Read more