Cocoa Watch – A Fresh Buying Opportunity on NIB

In early 2014 I laid out a basic trading premise for the cocoa market: trade the range by buying sell-offs and selling into buying sprees. This strategy has worked extremely well since then except I only pulled the trigger once this year. The chart below for the iPath Bloomberg Cocoa SubTR ETN (NIB) shows how … Read more

Contradictions Embedded In the Calmest Market in 75 Years

On Monday, August 15, 2016, Nightly Business Report (NBR) started its daily broadcast by noting another triple of all-time highs across the major indices – the S&P 500 (SPY), the NASDAQ (QQQ), and the Dow Jones Industrials (DIA). From there, NBR marveled at what it called the calmest market in 75 years. The reporting was … Read more

T2108 Update (August 5, 2016) – A Bullish Breakout that Flirts With Danger

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

T2108 Update (August 3, 2016) – Waiting On Bears to Follow-Through

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

T2108 Update (August 2, 2016) – From Bearish Divergence to Breakdown

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more