Forex Critical: A Fresh Sense of Heightened Risks

Over the past two weeks or so, I have focused my currency trading on fading the British pound (FXB) and the Australian dollar (FXA). In “The Currency Market Is Lagging A Dramatic Shift in Brexit Sentiment,” I compared market sentiment versus the trading action and made the following claim (emphasis newly made): “If my interpretation … Read more

T2108 Update (June 10, 2016) – A Bearish Reversal for the Stock Market

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

T2108 Update (June 9, 2016) – A Close Call

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

T2108 Update (June 6, 2016) – An Overbought Market Testing An Important Post-Recession Downtrend

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

The New Trade on KB Home: Switch to iShares US Home Construction

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on May 30, 2016. Click here to read the entire piece.) KB Home (KBH) last reported earnings on March 23, 2016 for its Q1 2016 results. Perhaps in anticipation of poor results, traders sold the stock ahead of the report and sent … Read more