ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets
Exploring the poetry in financial markets for students of money and economy since the year 2000.
The Market Breadth Summary Stock Market Commentary I switched to “risk off” and cautiously bearish in late January. The subsequent bearish trading action unfolded mainly “under the hood” of the major indices from late January through the beginning of last week, before accelerated selling emerged. A major market rotation away from tech stocks started before … Read more
The Market Breadth Summary Stock Market Commentary The first month of the new year ended in an eventful fashion with significant news both good and bad, sometimes abrupt. The bad news convinced me to go risk off again as breakdowns and pullbacks weighed heavily on individual stocks. The major indices hid the extent of the … Read more
Market breadth is my preferred technical indicator for understanding short-term price action in the stock market. I track breadth using AT50, shorthand for “Above the 50,” which measures the percentage of stocks trading above their 50-day moving averages (DMAs). AT50 becomes most meaningful at its extremes. Readings below 20% define oversold conditions that historically create … Read more
The Market Breadth Summary Stock Market Commentary I am risk off in the coming week because market breadth failed twice at the overbought level. One failure is enough to make me cautious, but two tells me that the market is fighting too hard just to go higher. Moreover, earnings season is in full swing. For … Read more
Software stocks suffered significant carnage last week and further tested my plan to target buys of beaten up software stocks this year. With his company caught up in the vortex, Box Inc (BOX) CEO Aaron Levie appeared on CNBC to give his version of an “everyone keep calm” speech. Levie presented a compelling platform-level case … Read more