Shake and Bake Does A Bottom Make – Above the 40 (February 28, 2020)

AT40 = 7.0% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) (oversold day #3, dropped as low as 5.1%)AT200 = 21.4% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs (13-month low, dropped as low as 17.8%)VIX = 40.1 (was as high as 49.5%)Short-term Trading Call: bullish Stock Market Commentary Oversold I had … Read more

Suddenly Oversold: Stock Market Extremes Continue – Above the 40 (February 25, 2020)

AT40 (T2108) bounced perfectly off the oversold threshold and closed at 21.1%

AT40 = 21.1% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 39.6% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 27.9Short-term Trading Call: neutral Stock Market Commentary Synchronized breakdowns below the 50-day moving average (DMA) looked like an extreme day of selling. The follow-up was even more spectacular. … Read more

Can the Market’s Healing Begin (aka Fed to the Rescue)? – Above the 40 (January 27, 2020)

AT40 = 45.5% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 55.3% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 18.2Short-term Trading Call: cautiously bearish Stock Market Commentary I am so accustomed to the stock market’s resilience that I am already looking ahead to the rebound scenarios from … Read more

The Stock Market Manages to Stretch Out of Overbought Conditions – Above the 40 (January 17, 2020)

AT40 = 69.6% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) (ends 1-day overbought period) AT200 = 63.1% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 12.1Short-term Trading Call: neutral Stock Market Commentary The stock market finally pushed into overbought territory on Thursday. The breakout only lasted for a day. … Read more

A Resilient Stock Market Finally Punches Into Overbought Territory – Above the 40 (January 16, 2020)

AT40 = 71.2% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) (overbought day #1) AT200 = 63.8% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs (11-month high) VIX = 12.3Short-term Trading Call: neutral Stock Market Commentary Whispers of bearish divergences are finally over. I did not think overbought conditions would happen anytime … Read more