A Refresher for Extended Overbought Conditions in the Stock Market – Above the 40 (December 28, 2020)

Stock Market Commentary The stock market quickly moved away from its close call with overbought conditions to pulling off a refresher for extended overbought conditions. The acquiescence of President Trump in signing a heavily negotiated, highly contentious pandemic relief bill seemed to provide the spark for the buying in the major indices. The Stock Market … Read more

A Close Call for Trading In the Extended Overbought Stock Market – Above the 40 (December 22, 2020)

AT40 (T2108) opened the day right on top of the 70% threshold for overbought conditions.

Stock Market Commentary The U.S. stock market quickly rebounded from the weekend’s jolt of pandemic news from Europe. The initial bout of selling created a close call for the extended overbought period. The comeback of buying picked the stock market off the threshold for overbought conditions but a sustained survival remains unsettled. While buyers convincingly … Read more

Stock Market Makes A Case for A Parabolic Run-Up – Above the 40 (September 2, 2020)

Stock Market Statistics AT40 = 67.4% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs)AT200 = 49.7% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 26.6Short-term Trading Call: cautiously bearish Stock Market Commentary Perhaps I will be sitting on the sidelines of the last 10%+ higher in the stock market. The … Read more

A Two-Speed Stock Market Downshifts Into A Bearish Divergence – Above the 40 (July 10, 2020)

Stock Market Statistics AT40 = 43.8% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) (hit a 2 1/2 – month low the previous day at 34.9%)AT200 = 26.0% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 27.3Short-term Trading Call: neutral Stock Market Commentary A strange and two-speed market got even … Read more

A Grinding Bear Market Hits More Oversold History – Above the 40 (March 18, 2020)

AT40 = 2.7% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) (16th oversold day)AT200 = 4.0% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAsVIX = 76.5Short-term Trading Call: bullish Stock Market Commentary The week started with another stomach churning loss with the S&P 500 (SPY) losing 12.0%. It was a day where … Read more