A Dramatic Change in Sentiment for Apple

Just ahead of the start of the Apple Worldwide Developers Conference (WWDC), I wrote that I was preparing for a change in Apple’s trading patterns that would impact the Apple Trading Model (ATM). My main interest was in the coming 7-to-1 stock split and the potential for retail traders leaving options alone to trade directly … Read more

T2108 Update (June 4, 2014) – Bearish Divergence Ahead of Highly Anticipated Eurozone Monetary Decision

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

Dan Loeb Exit Redux Caps A Rough Eight Days for Herbalife that Bears Well-Anticipated

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on January 26, 2014. Click here to read the entire piece.) It has been eight months since I exited my long position in Herbalife (HLF), but the story continues to fascinate me. This time around, bad news came in rapid sequence for … Read more

Solar City Pre-Earnings Technical Review – November, 2013 Edition

Solar City has traded down double digits after each of its three earnings reports: 3/6/2013 -14.4% 5/13/2013 -12.4% 8/7/2013 -10.8% So of course this will happen a fourth time in a row, right? Well, not so fast. The first post-earnings decline simply reversed a pre-earnings run-up. The stock continued upward from there. The second post-earnings … Read more

Chart Review: Apple Turns Bullish As Earnings Approach

In previous Apple chart reviews and updates, I have noted the apparent influence of the open interest put/call ratio on the overall bull/bear tone of Apple (AAPL). When the stock last bottomed – between September 16th and 17th – the open interest put/call ratio dropped to a level last seen since, you guessed it, AAPL’s … Read more