How to Play the Devaluation of the Swiss Franc

This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on December 5, 2011. Click here to read the entire piece.) The Swiss are getting impatient with their stubbornly strong currency. Ever since establishing a peg to the euro and a floor at 1.20 for EUR/CHF two months ago, the euro has … Read more

Time to Moderate Bullishness on the Australian Dollar

This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on December 5, 2011. Click here to read the entire piece.) The Australian dollar was a particularly strong beneficiary of last week’s bullish euphoria. Although the dollar index has only lost about 1% since its most recent peak on Friday, Nov 25, … Read more

T2108 Update – December 5, 2011 (Almost Overbought)

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are posted on twitter using the #120trade hashtag) T2108 Status: 68% VIX Status: 28 … Read more

T2108 Update – December 2, 2011 (Europhoria – without the euro)

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are posted on twitter using the #120trade hashtag) T2108 Status: 62% VIX Status: 28 … Read more

T2108 Update – November 30, 2011 (Very Impressive Follow-Through Despite More Red Flags)

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are posted on twitter using the #120trade hashtag) T2108 Status: 65% VIX Status: 28 … Read more

T2108 Update – November 28, 2011 (Close Call)

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are posted on twitter using the #120trade hashtag) T2108 Status: 33% VIX Status: 32 … Read more

Buying Canadian On Expectations for Stronger Growth

This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on November 27, 2011. Click here to read the entire piece.) The Conference Board of Canada anticipates stronger growth in Canada over the next two years. The sovereign debt crisis in Europe represents the most significant downside risk to this forecast: {snip} … Read more

Global Economic Pressures Continue to Push the Dollar Reluctantly Higher

This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on November 27, 2011. Click here to read the entire piece.) The U.S. dollar’s role as a “safety” currency has finally returned although the market has only reluctantly marched back to the dollar’s printing presses. This year’s first two market swoons sent … Read more

Chart Review: British Pound Headed for Major Lows Versus the U.S. Dollar

The British pound continues to validate my bearish outlook on the currency. The recent break below the 50-day moving average (DMA) continues to generate lower prices versus the U.S. dollar. A fourth retest looms of support that has held for over a year. I am doubtful it will hold up yet again given the last … Read more

Chart Review: Dollar Close to A Breakout

The U.S. dollar continues to creep slowly but surely upward as the euro steadily sinks week after week. After the dollar survived a plunge below the 200DMA that I thought marked the decisive end of its previous relief rally, the currency has faithfully followed its 50-day moving average (DMA) to higher ground. On Wednesday, the … Read more