Can A Market Be Both Complacent and Oversold? – The Market Breadth

complacent and oversold (Credit: sonstroem on Flickr)

Stock Market Commentary: Yes. The stock market can be both complacent and oversold. A week ago I described how stocks left regional banks behind. Last week, the overall market took comfort in the on-going, yet narrowing, strength in big cap tech stocks even as industrials and other economically sensitive stocks stumbled into weakness. The resulting … Read more

Oversold Again: A Market Chasing Its Tail – The Market Breadth

chasing tail (credit: Catch it if you can by timekin on Flickr)

Stock Market Commentary: The stock market has swung so much between hope and despair that it looks like a dog chasing its tail down a hill. Accordingly, “The Market Breadth” has careened from soaring headlines to danger signs. A steep downtrend has remained in place since the last peak in August. Since that time 200-day … Read more

Did the Bear Market Warm Up For A Comeback? – The Market Breadth

Did the Bear Market Warm Up For A Comeback? (Credit: Bear Stretches by aaaceto)

Stock Market Commentary: Now I see why there was so little fanfare about the end of the bear market. Last week’s trading looks like a warm-up for a bear market comeback. The S&P 500 and the iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) printed bearish confirmations of resistance at their respective 200-day moving averages (DMAs) (the blue … Read more

Tesla, Inc: What Potential Rally Fatigue Looks Like

In “What Recession? Market Shows Love As Apple Leads the Way“, I raised a yellow flag on a critical test for the market at the overbought threshold. I described the conditions dividing the market from a bearish reversal and an extended bullish rally. The stock market left the situation in suspense by gapping down, falling … Read more

Stock Chart Reviews – Bear Market Green Shoots

Bear market green shoots

Stock Market Commentary: The stock market is delivering fertile ground for bear market green shoots. Market breadth in the form of AT50 (MMFI), the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 50-day moving averages (DMAs), closed at a one month high. Under the hood are individual stocks achieving convincing 50DMA breakouts and closing out primary … Read more