Chart Review: Spain ETF (EWP) Breaks Its March, 2009 Low

The iShares MSCI Spain Index Fund ETF (EWP) broke below its March, 2009 lows this week. EWP is now trading at 8 1/2 year lows. This major milestone is more confirmation that we can expect another roiling summer full of eurozone headlines. I provide a weekly and a daily chart for perspective. Note how volume … Read more

Hard Currency: A Promising Podcast on Foreign Exchange From the Financial Times

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on May 15, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) The Financial Times has launched a new weekly podcast called “Hard Currency.” The first interview aired on May 13th featuring Alice Ross as host and senior currency analyst Paul Robson from … Read more

Bearish Signs Mount As The Bottom Drops Out of ProShares UltraShort 20+ Year Treasury (TBT)

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on May 15, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) So much for that bottoming process in ProShares UltraShort 20+ Year Treasury (TBT) that I noted two months ago (see “Looking Like A Bottom For TBT“). Interest rates are headed lower … Read more

Chart Review: JPMorgan Chase and Goldman Sachs Break Down

T2107, the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 200-day moving averages has been in decline since reaching a quick post-recession peak in late 2009. It is one sign that fewer and fewer strong stocks are supporting the overall stock market. So when the indicator takes a fresh plunge to the downside, I sit up … Read more

T2108 Update (May 15, 2012) – Fallen From the Edge But Not Yet Oversold

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are posted on twitter using the #120trade hashtag) T2108 Status: 27.6% VIX Status: 22.0% … Read more

Chart Review: Apple Breaks First Critical Support As Downtrend Continues

On Friday, May 4, Apple, Inc. (AAPL) essentially filled its post-earnings gap up. It took another week for AAPL to retest support that had held in the days before earnings. The selling into that test formed a downtrend in April that Apple has yet to shake. This downtrend has been so persistent that Apple has … Read more

Exports of Liquified Natural Gas Add to Evidence of Bottoming Natural Gas Prices

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on May 11, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) On April 19th, natural gas (UNG) reached a 10-year low at $1.907/mmBtu. This week, natural gas traded to a two-month high, the largest and longest-lasting move higher in a very, long … Read more

T2108 Update (May 10, 2012) – Still Clinging to the Edge

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are posted on twitter using the #120trade hashtag) T2108 Status: 35% VIX Status: 19.9% … Read more

Chart Review: J.C. Penney Bouncing Off 200DMA Support Ahead Of Earnings

A little over a week ago, I pointed out that shorts are increasing along with a drop in the put/call ratio on J.C. Penney Company (JCP). At the time, I said that I was done buying puts on JCP. Since then, I decided to buy calls. The stock is now bouncing off 200DMA support. It … Read more