Above the 40 (July 13, 2017) – The S&P 500 Shows Off Again

AT40 = 59.3% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 58.3% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 9.9 (volatility index) Short-term Trading Call: neutral Commentary The stock market continued its healing process from its last bout of mild indigestion. Most impressive is the S&P 500 … Read more

The Bank of Canada Confirms Easy Money Ain’t Gettin’ No Easier

I greatly under-estimated the confidence of the Bank of Canada (BoC) when I mapped out the possibilities for a currency market that highly anticipated a rate hike from the Bank. In its latest statement on monetary policy, the BoC increased its target for the overnight rate by 25 basis points (bps) to 0.75%. The Bank … Read more

Forex Critical – Canadian Dollar: High Odds of Rate Hike Equal High Impact of Any Disappointment

Going into last week’s report on Canadian employment, currency speculators retreated further from what was a record net short position against the Canadian dollar (FXC) less than two months prior. Source: Oanda’s CFTC’s Commitments of Traders This retreat is occurring in conjunction with a consistent strengthening in the Canadian dollar. For example, USD/CAD peaked in … Read more

Above the 40 (July 10, 2017) – A Big Tech Sucking Sound On the Eve of Amazon Prime Day

AT40 = 52.7% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 55.6% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 11.1 (flat) (volatility index) Short-term Trading Call: neutral Commentary Tech was back today sucking energy out of other parts of the stock market. The NASDAQ increased 0.4%, and … Read more

Above the 40 (July 7, 2017) – Another Entry for Stock Market’s Yo-Yo Chronicles

AT40 = 54.6% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 56.5% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 11.2 (10.8% drop) (volatility index) Short-term Trading Call: neutral Commentary Source: Giphy There are all sorts of nicknames possible for a churning market. In this edition of “Above … Read more