T2108 Update (September 13, 2012) – Extended Overbought Period Confirmed

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are highly likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades … Read more

The Swiss Franc Loosens Up – Is It Singing for the Euro?

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on September 5, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) {snip} …something happened September 5th that finally had me rethinking my rediscovered, extended bearishness on the euro. The Swiss franc (FXF) suddenly came to life against the euro today, AND, most … Read more

Reserve Bank of Australia Provides Some Relief for the Australian Dollar

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on September 4, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) On Sunday, September 2, the Australian dollar (FXA) drifted back to flatline for the year against the U.S. dollar. This move prompted me to tweet the following: “$AUDUSD close to flat … Read more

Little New News from Jackson Hole But Market Readies for Action Anyway

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on September 3, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) “…the private sector’s revised outlook for the policy rate also appears to reflect a growing appreciation of how forceful the FOMC intends to be in supporting a sustainable recovery.” (Ben Bernanke … Read more

Chart Review: Goldman Sachs Breaks Out In Style

Goldman Sachs (GS) has been on a tear lately. Since breaking out on September 5th, the stock is up about 11%. The first three days of the breakout move featured strong volume, above the moving 90-day average. GS is now challenging a major resistance area formed by a head and shoulders type pattern from 2012’s … Read more

Australian Dollar’s Rebound Faces Critical Test Against U.S. Dollar

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on September 12, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) In one more day, the Federal Reserve announces its next decision on monetary policy. In anticipation, the dollar (UUP) has traded lower and lower. The Australian dollar (FXA) has been one … Read more

Pan American Silver Remains A Cheap Play On A Recovery In Silver Prices

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on September 3, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) {snip} {snip} First, why bother with a silver miner that is experiencing operational difficulties due to political turmoil? I think the company’s description of itself provides a good summary of the … Read more

Monetary Easing, The Counterfactual, And A Lower Dollar In the Balance

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on September 11, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke has made the case for further monetary easing simple and straightforward. Unless some miracle happens in the economy to send growth hurtling upward (presidential campaign promises, … Read more

Another Fiscal Cliff For Japan Coincides With Another Visit to Historic Yen Levels

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on September 11, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) In August, 2011, Prime Minister Naoto Kan stepped down from power to resolve gridlock over the budget of the Japanese government. On September, 7, 2012, current Finance Minister Jan Azumi made … Read more

The British Pound Is Back In Fashion

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on September 2, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) The currency markets have gone through waves and cycles of themes thanks to the constant tinkering and interventions by the world’s central banks. With the big news headlines for the United … Read more